La Liga · 2024Sun, 1 Sept 2024, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Osasuna

DWL

3–2Full-time recap

Celta Vigo

WWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Osasuna	Celta Vigo
Shots	10 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.89 xG/match	1.71 xG/match▲
Possession	50%	50%
Corners	6 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	19 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Osasuna. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Osasuna have a visible home split

weak

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.7 shots/match	10.5 shots/match	11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Osasuna.

2.92 days▲Rest daysOsasuna · Celta Vigo5.81 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Osasuna	Celta Vigo	Baseline
Rest days	2.92 days	5.81 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Osasuna

1Draws

2Celta Vigo

4 Feb 2024Osasuna — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–3

13 Aug 2023Celta Vigo — Osasuna · La Liga0–2

6 Mar 2023Osasuna — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–0

5 Nov 2022Celta Vigo — Osasuna · La Liga1–2

19 Jan 2022Celta Vigo — Osasuna · La Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 0 · 13 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/42.5 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/42.25 goals/match

0.81 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.64 xG/match

1.42 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.78 xG/match

10.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/411.3 shots/match

10.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/414.3 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45.5 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/44.75 shots/match

49%Possessionseason · 4/4●54.5%

4.25 corners/match●Cornersseason · 4/43.5 corners/match

4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/45.75 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/48.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/40%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna50

Celta Vigo71.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna50

Celta Vigo76.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna51.8

Celta Vigo17.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna39.5

Celta Vigo23.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna60.5

Celta Vigo5.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna34.2

Celta Vigo15.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna45.4

Celta Vigo39.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Osasuna4 matchesCelta Vigo4 matches

1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2.5 goals/match

1.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.25 goals/match

0.81 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.64 xG/match

10.5 shots/matchShots4/4▲11.3 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5.5 shots/match

49%Possession4/4●54.5%

4.25 corners/match●Corners4/43.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13 fouls/matchFouls4/48.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Osasuna3 matchesCelta Vigo2 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/2—

1 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2—

1.07 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

13.7 shots/matchShots3/2—

4.67 shots/matchShots on target3/2—

52%Possession3/2—

5.67 corners/matchCorners3/2—

—Cards0/0—

14.3 fouls/matchFouls3/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.81 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Sept 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4