La Liga · 2024Sun, 20 Oct 2024, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Barcelona

WWWLW

5–1Full-time recap

Sevilla

WLWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Barcelona	Sevilla
Shots	21 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	3.89 xG/match▲	0.92 xG/match
Possession	67%●	33%
Corners	5 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Barcelona: 21 shots, 9 on target, 4.09 xG. Sevilla: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.92 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Barcelona 4.09 xG · Sevilla 0.92 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.6 shots/match▲ShotsBarcelona · Sevilla14 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Barcelona	Sevilla	Baseline
Shots	17.6 shots/match	14 shots/match	11.6 shots/match
Shots against	8.4 shots/match	12.4 shots/match	11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.1 corners/match●CornersBarcelona · Sevilla5.6 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Barcelona	Sevilla	Baseline
Corners	6.1 corners/match	5.6 corners/match	4.8 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

5Barcelona

0Draws

0Sevilla

26 May 2024Sevilla — Barcelona · La Liga1–2

29 Sept 2023Barcelona — Sevilla · La Liga1–0

5 Feb 2023Barcelona — Sevilla · La Liga3–0

3 Sept 2022Sevilla — Barcelona · La Liga0–3

3 Apr 2022Barcelona — Sevilla · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Barcelona favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Sevilla in 1 · 3 too close

3.3 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 10/101 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 10/101.5 goals/match

2.64 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 10/101.23 xG/match

1.1 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 10/101.44 xG/match

17.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 10/1014 shots/match

8.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 10/1012.4 shots/match

7.4 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 10/104.4 shots/match

2.6 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 10/104.6 shots/match

67.6%●Possessionseason · 10/1054.3%

6.1 corners/match●Cornersseason · 10/105.6 corners/match

5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/10▲3.9 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

7.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1013.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

30%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1030%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1080%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Barcelona97.5

Sevilla72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Barcelona97.5

Sevilla60.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Barcelona84.2

Sevilla34.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Barcelona72.5

Sevilla67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Barcelona2.5

Sevilla72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Barcelona97.5

Sevilla82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Barcelona73.8

Sevilla75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Barcelona10 matchesSevilla10 matches

3.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match

2.64 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.23 xG/match

17.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1014 shots/match

7.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.4 shots/match

67.6%●Possession10/1054.3%

6.1 corners/match●Corners10/105.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

7.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Barcelona4 matchesSevilla5 matches

3.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/51 goals/match

0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/52 goals/match

3.11 xG/match▲Expected goals4/51.04 xG/match

18 shots/match▲Shots4/512.4 shots/match

7.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/53.6 shots/match

70%●Possession4/553.2%

6.75 corners/match●Corners4/55.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

6.75 fouls/matchFouls4/512.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples10 / 10home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Oct 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4