PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Real Valladolid 1–2 Villarreal · La Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Villarreal won 1–2.

Shots
721
Shots on target
39
Expected goals
0.942.31
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Villarreal beat Real Valladolid 2–1. Recorded in this match (Real Valladolid – Villarreal): shots 7–21, shots on target 3–9, expected goals 0.94–2.31, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Valladolid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Valladolid's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.82 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Valladolid · Villarreal14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal ValladolidVillarrealBaseline
Shots10 shots/match14.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match13.5 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Real Valladolid have a visible home split

moderate

Real Valladolid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match10 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots21 shotsReal Valladolid 7 shots, Villarreal 21 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots9 shotsReal Valladolid 3 shots, Villarreal 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG2.31 xGReal Valladolid 0.94 xG, Villarreal 2.31 xG
  • Possession45%55%Real Valladolid 45%, Villarreal 55%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersReal Valladolid 4 corners, Villarreal 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls13 foulsReal Valladolid 16 fouls, Villarreal 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mario Martín · Real Valladolid · 24′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLogan Costa · Villarreal · 64′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAnuar · Real Valladolid · 17′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSelim Amallah · Real Valladolid · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIlias Akhomach · Villarreal · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEray Cömert · Real Valladolid · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIlias Akhomach · Villarreal · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKenedy · Real Valladolid · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Villarreal · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIlias Akhomach · Villarreal · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Villarreal · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sylla · Real Valladolid · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThierno Barry · Villarreal · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 81′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAlex Baena · Villarreal · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThierno Barry · Villarreal · 11′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 79′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 55′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedThierno Barry · Villarreal · 52′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 32′ · 0.15 xG · on targetPape Gueye · Villarreal · 73′ · 0.19 xG · on targetYéremy Pino · Villarreal · 83′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedSergi Cardona · Villarreal · 83′ · 0.26 xG · on targetThierno Barry · Villarreal · 29′ · 0.27 xG · goalAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 84′ · 0.55 xG · goalMamadou Sylla · Real Valladolid · 60′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Valladolid: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.97 xG. Villarreal: 21 shots, 9 on target, 2.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Mamadou Sylla · Real Valladolid · 60′Thierno Barry · Villarreal · 29′Ayoze Pérez · Villarreal · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Valladolid 0.97 xG · Villarreal 2.38 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Valladolid favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Villarreal in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Valladolid11 matchesVillarreal11 matches
0.82 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 1.82 goals/match
2.09 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 1.73 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 1.69 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 14.7 shots/match
2.18 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 4.82 shots/match
42.5%Possession11/11● 45.1%
4.27 corners/matchCorners11/114.27 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal ValladolidVillarreal
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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