PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Real Valladolid 1–1 Athletic Club · La Liga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Valladolid and Athletic Club drew 1–1.

Shots
617
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
0.611.21
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Valladolid and Athletic Club drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Real Valladolid – Athletic Club): shots 6–17, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 0.61–1.21, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Valladolid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Valladolid's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.77 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Athletic Club show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.46 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Valladolid · Athletic Club11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal ValladolidAthletic ClubBaseline
Shots9.46 shots/match11.9 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against16.1 shots/match9.38 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Real Valladolid have a visible home split

moderate

Real Valladolid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.46 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match9.46 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots17 shotsReal Valladolid 6 shots, Athletic Club 17 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotReal Valladolid 3 shots, Athletic Club 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.61 xG1.21 xGReal Valladolid 0.61 xG, Athletic Club 1.21 xG
  • Possession35%65%Real Valladolid 35%, Athletic Club 65%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersReal Valladolid 5 corners, Athletic Club 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsReal Valladolid 12 fouls, Athletic Club 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Yeray Álvarez · Athletic Club · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Djaló · Athletic Club · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBeñat Prados · Athletic Club · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Serrano · Athletic Club · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Djaló · Athletic Club · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Djaló · Athletic Club · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Williams · Athletic Club · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedUnai Gómez · Athletic Club · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbdulay Juma Bah · Real Valladolid · 6′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRaúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNico Williams · Athletic Club · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKike Pérez · Real Valladolid · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNico Serrano · Athletic Club · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdama Boiro · Athletic Club · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarcos André · Real Valladolid · 66′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Djaló · Athletic Club · 47′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLucas Rosa · Real Valladolid · 12′ · 0.17 xG · on targetGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 75′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.20 xG · goalRaúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 79′ · 0.23 xG · goalNico Williams · Athletic Club · 15′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Valladolid: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.55 xG. Athletic Club: 17 shots, 1 on target, 1.19 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Raúl Moro · Real Valladolid · 79′Gorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Valladolid 0.55 xG · Athletic Club 1.19 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Valladolid favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Valladolid13 matchesAthletic Club13 matches
0.77 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.46 goals/match
1.92 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 1 goal/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.49 xG/match
9.46 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 11.9 shots/match
2.38 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 3.77 shots/match
42.5%Possession13/13● 49.2%
4.15 corners/matchCorners13/13● 5.08 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Nov 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal ValladolidAthletic Club
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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