La Liga · 2024Sun, 2 Mar 2025, 15:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
40Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBarcelonaReal Sociedad
Shots33 shots/match0 shots/match
Shots on target10 shots/match0 shots/match
Expected goals2.85 xG/match0 xG/match
Possession76%24%
Corners12 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match6 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Gerard Martín · Barcelona · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRonald Araújo · Barcelona · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPedri · Barcelona · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHector Fort · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDani Olmo · Barcelona · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFerran Torres · Barcelona · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFerran Torres · Barcelona · 84′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedri · Barcelona · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 56′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDani Olmo · Barcelona · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDani Olmo · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.07 xG · on targetGerard Martín · Barcelona · 63′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDani Olmo · Barcelona · 64′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 38′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPedri · Barcelona · 39′ · 0.10 xG · on targetGerard Martín · Barcelona · 25′ · 0.11 xG · goalFerran Torres · Barcelona · 67′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedFerran Torres · Barcelona · 86′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMarc Casadó · Barcelona · 29′ · 0.12 xG · goalDani Olmo · Barcelona · 21′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 61′ · 0.32 xG · goalRonald Araújo · Barcelona · 56′ · 0.36 xG · goalRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 80′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Barcelona: 33 shots, 10 on target, 2.87 xG. Real Sociedad: 0 shots, 0 on target, 0.00 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Gerard Martín · Barcelona · 25′Marc Casadó · Barcelona · 29′Ronald Araújo · Barcelona · 56′Robert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Barcelona 2.87 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.2 shots/matchShotsBarcelona · Real Sociedad10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaReal SociedadBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match10.3 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against8.19 shots/match12 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.5 corners/matchCornersBarcelona · Real Sociedad5.54 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaReal SociedadBaseline
Corners6.5 corners/match5.54 corners/match4.75 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Barcelona
0Draws
2Real Sociedad
Real SociedadBarcelona · La Liga10
BarcelonaReal Sociedad · La Liga20
Real SociedadBarcelona · La Liga01
BarcelonaReal Sociedad · La Liga12
Real SociedadBarcelona · La Liga14

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Barcelona favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 1 · 3 too close

2.73 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 26/260.88 goals/match
0.96 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/261.04 goals/match
2.48 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 26/261.1 xG/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 26/261.15 xG/match
17.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 26/2610.3 shots/match
8.19 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/2612 shots/match
6.58 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 26/263.38 shots/match
3.12 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/263.58 shots/match
67.8%Possessionseason · 26/2654.7%
6.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/265.54 corners/match
4.35 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/264.73 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
9.08 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2613.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
31%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/2646%
92%Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2654%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Barcelona97.5
Real Sociedad82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Barcelona97.5
Real Sociedad25.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Barcelona85
Real Sociedad58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Barcelona67.5
Real Sociedad7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Barcelona7.5
Real Sociedad67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Barcelona97.5
Real Sociedad87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Barcelona75
Real Sociedad54.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Barcelona26 matchesReal Sociedad26 matches
2.73 goals/matchGoals scored26/260.88 goals/match
0.96 goals/matchGoals allowed26/261.04 goals/match
2.48 xG/matchExpected goals26/261.1 xG/match
17.2 shots/matchShots26/2610.3 shots/match
6.58 shots/matchShots on target26/263.38 shots/match
67.8%Possession26/2654.7%
6.5 corners/matchCorners26/265.54 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.08 fouls/matchFouls26/2613.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Barcelona12 matchesReal Sociedad13 matches
2.75 goals/matchGoals scored12/130.62 goals/match
0.75 goals/matchGoals allowed12/131.08 goals/match
2.72 xG/matchExpected goals12/130.89 xG/match
19.3 shots/matchShots12/138.77 shots/match
7.25 shots/matchShots on target12/132.54 shots/match
70.8%Possession12/1352.3%
8.08 corners/matchCorners12/134.85 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.92 fouls/matchFouls12/1312.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.8 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Mar 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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Barcelona vs Real Sociedad — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath