PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sun, 30 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Getafe

WLLWW
1–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGetafeVillarreal
Shots11 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Expected goals1.04 xG/match1.26 xG/match▲
Possession55%●45%
Corners3 corners/match●1 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match21 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Peter González · Getafe · 69′ · 0.01 xG · on targetÁlvaro Rodriguez · Getafe · 71′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLuis Milla · Getafe · 79′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPeter González · Getafe · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Rodriguez · Getafe · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCarles Pérez · Getafe · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Rodriguez · Getafe · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJuan Iglesias · Getafe · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCarles Pérez · Getafe · 29′ · 0.07 xG · goalTajon Buchanan · Villarreal · 65′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Villarreal · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Villarreal · 58′ · 0.26 xG · on targetThierno Barry · Villarreal · 33′ · 0.29 xG · goalJuan Iglesias · Getafe · 40′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 15′ · 0.35 xG · goalOmar Alderete · Getafe · 39′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Getafe: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.01 xG. Villarreal: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.24 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Carles Pérez · Getafe · 29′Ayoze Pérez · Villarreal · 15′Thierno Barry · Villarreal · 33′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Getafe 1.01 xG · Villarreal 1.24 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Villarreal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Villarreal's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Villarreal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.82 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Getafe
4Draws
1Villarreal
Villarreal — Getafe · La Liga1–1
Villarreal — Getafe · La Liga1–1
Getafe — Villarreal · La Liga0–0
Villarreal — Getafe · La Liga2–1
Getafe — Villarreal · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Getafe favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Villarreal in 6 · 2 too close

0.9 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 29/28▲1.82 goals/match
0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 29/281.39 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 29/28▲1.77 xG/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 29/28▲1.12 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 29/28▲14.8 shots/match
9.62 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 29/2811.8 shots/match
3.24 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 29/28▲4.82 shots/match
3.03 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 29/284.21 shots/match
42.2%Possessionseason · 29/28●48.8%
3.83 corners/matchCornersseason · 29/28●4.89 corners/match
3.76 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 29/284.25 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
16.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/2812 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
28%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/2811%
62%Scoring frequencyseason · 29/28▲86%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Getafe12.5
Villarreal42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Getafe30.8
Villarreal87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Getafe88.3
Villarreal40.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Getafe87.5
Villarreal97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Getafe97.5
Villarreal37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Getafe17.5
Villarreal52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Getafe50
Villarreal66.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Getafe29 matchesVillarreal28 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored29/28▲1.82 goals/match
0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed29/281.39 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals29/28▲1.77 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots29/28▲14.8 shots/match
3.24 shots/matchShots on target29/28▲4.82 shots/match
42.2%Possession29/28●48.8%
3.83 corners/matchCorners29/28●4.89 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
16.4 fouls/matchFouls29/2812 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Getafe15 matchesVillarreal15 matches
0.87 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲1.47 goals/match
0.73 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.2 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲1.57 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots15/15▲13.9 shots/match
3.47 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲4.2 shots/match
47.9%Possession15/15●49.6%
3.87 corners/matchCorners15/15●4.6 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
16 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.8 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples29 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsGetafeVillarreal
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Getafe vs Villarreal — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath