PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Real Betis 2–1 Sevilla · La Liga

2–1Historical match

Sevilla

WDDWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Betis won 2–1.

Shots
116
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.070.7
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Betis beat Sevilla 2–1. Recorded in this match (Real Betis – Sevilla): shots 11–6, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.07–0.7, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Betis have a visible home split

moderate

Real Betis's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match13.8 shots/match10.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots6 shotsReal Betis 11 shots, Sevilla 6 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsReal Betis 3 shots, Sevilla 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.07 xG0.7 xGReal Betis 1.07 xG, Sevilla 0.7 xG
  • Possession56%44%Real Betis 56%, Sevilla 44%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersReal Betis 2 corners, Sevilla 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls22 foulsReal Betis 10 fouls, Sevilla 22 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nemanja Gudelj · Sevilla · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJesús Rodriguez · Real Betis · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCucho Hernández · Real Betis · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJesús Rodriguez · Real Betis · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Real Betis · 56′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJohnny Cardoso · Real Betis · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCucho Hernández · Real Betis · 3′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Real Betis · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIsco · Real Betis · 13′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · Sevilla · 17′ · 0.08 xG · goalIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 30′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJohnny Cardoso · Real Betis · 25′ · 0.12 xG · goalCucho Hernández · Real Betis · 75′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · Sevilla · 43′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedCucho Hernández · Real Betis · 45′ · 0.37 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Betis: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.06 xG. Sevilla: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Johnny Cardoso · Real Betis · 25′Cucho Hernández · Real Betis · 45′Rubén Vargas · Sevilla · 17′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Betis 1.06 xG · Sevilla 0.69 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Real Betis
4Draws
1Sevilla
Sevilla — Real Betis · La Liga1–0
Real Betis — Sevilla · La Liga1–1
Sevilla — Real Betis · La Liga1–1
Sevilla — Real Betis · La Liga0–0
Real Betis — Sevilla · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Betis favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Sevilla in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Betis29 matchesSevilla29 matches
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.14 goals/match
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.34 goals/match
1.57 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/291.03 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots29/2912.1 shots/match
4.72 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/293.86 shots/match
52.5% ●Possession29/2951.9%
5.14 corners/match ●Corners29/294.97 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls29/2912.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Mar 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal BetisSevilla
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headReal Betis — Sevilla
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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