La Liga · 2024Sun, 4 May 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Real Sociedad

WWLDL

0–0Full-time recap

Athletic Club

DDWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Sociedad	Athletic Club
Shots	12 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	0.92 xG/match▲	0.17 xG/match
Possession	59%●	41%
Corners	7 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	18 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Real Sociedad: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.91 xG. Athletic Club: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.24 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Sociedad 0.91 xG · Athletic Club 0.24 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Real Sociedad's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.47 goals/match	1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Sociedad have a visible home split

moderate

Real Sociedad's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.7 shots/match	10.1 shots/match	11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Sociedad show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Sociedad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/match▲ShotsReal Sociedad · Athletic Club12.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Real Sociedad	Athletic Club	Baseline
Shots	10.1 shots/match	12.6 shots/match	11.2 shots/match
Shots against	11.6 shots/match	9.12 shots/match	11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Real Sociedad

0Draws

3Athletic Club

24 Nov 2024Athletic Club — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–0

13 Jan 2024Athletic Club — Real Sociedad · La Liga2–1

30 Sept 2023Real Sociedad — Athletic Club · La Liga3–0

15 Apr 2023Athletic Club — Real Sociedad · La Liga2–0

14 Jan 2023Real Sociedad — Athletic Club · La Liga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 10 · 2 too close

0.94 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 34/34▲1.47 goals/match

1.09 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/34▲0.76 goals/match

1.11 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 34/34▲1.42 xG/match

1.09 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 34/34▲0.97 xG/match

10.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/34▲12.6 shots/match

11.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/34▲9.12 shots/match

3.38 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/34▲4.24 shots/match

3.59 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/34▲3.12 shots/match

54.7%●Possessionseason · 34/3448.4%

5.47 corners/match●Cornersseason · 34/345.12 corners/match

4.76 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/34▲4.12 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3412.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

38%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/3435%

53%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/34▲76%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad82.5

Athletic Club47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad21.7

Athletic Club67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad61.7

Athletic Club93.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad2.5

Athletic Club77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad72.5

Athletic Club57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad87.5

Athletic Club72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad51.2

Athletic Club66.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Sociedad34 matchesAthletic Club34 matches

0.94 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲1.47 goals/match

1.09 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲0.76 goals/match

1.11 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲1.42 xG/match

10.1 shots/matchShots34/34▲12.6 shots/match

3.38 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲4.24 shots/match

54.7%●Possession34/3448.4%

5.47 corners/match●Corners34/345.12 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.4 fouls/matchFouls34/3412.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Sociedad17 matchesAthletic Club17 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲1.12 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲0.94 goals/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goals17/171.15 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots17/1711.3 shots/match

3.88 shots/match▲Shots on target17/173.41 shots/match

57.8%●Possession17/1746.2%

6.18 corners/match●Corners17/175 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.3 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

11 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/111.1 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples34 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 May 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4