La Liga · 2024Sun, 25 May 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Athletic Club

WDWWW

0–3Full-time recap

Barcelona

WWWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Athletic Club	Barcelona
Shots	9 shots/match	13 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.2 xG/match	3.49 xG/match▲
Possession	24%	76%●
Corners	2 corners/match	6 corners/match●
Fouls	21 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Athletic Club: 9 shots, 1 on target, 1.20 xG. Barcelona: 12 shots, 3 on target, 2.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 1.20 xG · Barcelona 2.56 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.42 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.42 goals/match	1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.4%PossessionAthletic Club · Barcelona●69.1%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.7 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Athletic Club	Barcelona	Baseline
Possession	48.4%	69.1%	49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match▲ShotsAthletic Club · Barcelona17.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Athletic Club	Barcelona	Baseline
Shots	12.3 shots/match	17.8 shots/match	11.2 shots/match
Shots against	9.03 shots/match	7.74 shots/match	11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Athletic Club

1Draws

4Barcelona

24 Aug 2024Barcelona — Athletic Club · La Liga2–1

3 Mar 2024Athletic Club — Barcelona · La Liga0–0

22 Oct 2023Barcelona — Athletic Club · La Liga1–0

12 Mar 2023Athletic Club — Barcelona · La Liga0–1

23 Oct 2022Barcelona — Athletic Club · La Liga4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Barcelona in 6 · 4 too close

1.42 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 38/38▲2.68 goals/match

0.76 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 38/381.03 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 38/38▲2.43 xG/match

1 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 38/381.1 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 38/38▲17.8 shots/match

9.03 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 38/38▲7.74 shots/match

4.05 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 38/38▲6.58 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 38/382.89 shots/match

48.4%Possessionseason · 38/38●69.1%

5.08 corners/matchCornersseason · 38/38●6.97 corners/match

4.08 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 38/383.92 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 38/389.68 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

39%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 38/3834%

76%Scoring frequencyseason · 38/38▲95%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club47.5

Barcelona97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club64.2

Barcelona97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club94.2

Barcelona91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club67.5

Barcelona72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club57.5

Barcelona7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club72.5

Barcelona97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club63.8

Barcelona75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Athletic Club38 matchesBarcelona38 matches

1.42 goals/matchGoals scored38/38▲2.68 goals/match

0.76 goals/match▲Goals allowed38/381.03 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goals38/38▲2.43 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShots38/38▲17.8 shots/match

4.05 shots/matchShots on target38/38▲6.58 shots/match

48.4%Possession38/38●69.1%

5.08 corners/matchCorners38/38●6.97 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFouls38/389.68 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Athletic Club19 matchesBarcelona19 matches

1.68 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲2.63 goals/match

0.68 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/191 goals/match

1.64 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲2.12 xG/match

13.5 shots/matchShots19/19▲15.2 shots/match

4.74 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲5.68 shots/match

49.7%Possession19/19●67.3%

5.26 corners/matchCorners19/19●5.42 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.2 fouls/matchFouls19/199.42 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.08 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples38 / 38home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 May 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4