This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
This match
Match statistics
| Metric | Nottingham Forest | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 14 shots/match▲ | 13 shots/match |
| Shots on target | 8 shots/match▲ | 4 shots/match |
| Expected goals | 1.3 xG/match▲ | 1.22 xG/match |
| Possession | 53%● | 47% |
| Corners | 2 corners/match | 6 corners/match● |
| Fouls | 17 fouls/match | 8 fouls/match |
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
Nottingham Forest: 14 shots, 8 on target, 1.38 xG. Bournemouth: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.20 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nottingham Forest 1.38 xG · Bournemouth 1.20 xG.
30-second read
What the record shows
The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.
Season-opening preview
Current-season evidence is still building.
This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.
1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade
Current season so far
Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.
- Nottingham Forest1 matches
- Bournemouth1 matches
Previous-season context
Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.
Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.
Nottingham Forest
- Competition
- Premier League
- Season
- 2023/24
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 19 May 2024
- Goals scored1.29 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.76 goals/match
- Expected goals1.32 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.42 xG/match
- Shots11.9 shots/match
- Shots allowed13.4 shots/match
- Shots on target3.89 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.5 shots/match
- Possession40.3%
- Corners3.89 corners/match
- Corners allowed6.45 corners/match
- Fouls11.3 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency11%
- Scoring frequency74%
Bournemouth
- Competition
- Premier League
- Season
- 2023/24
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 19 May 2024
- Goals scored1.42 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.76 goals/match
- Expected goals1.49 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.55 xG/match
- Shots14.3 shots/match
- Shots allowed14.1 shots/match
- Shots on target4.87 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed5.21 shots/match
- Possession44.1%
- Corners6.18 corners/match
- Corners allowed5.63 corners/match
- Fouls13.3 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency24%
- Scoring frequency82%
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
- The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Nottingham Forest
Southampton
Newcastle United
Everton
Brighton & Hove Albion