Premier League · 2024Sat, 17 Aug 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNottingham ForestBournemouth
Shots14 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.3 xG/match1.22 xG/match
Possession53%47%
Corners2 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Antoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Gibbs-White · Nottingham Forest · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOla Aina · Nottingham Forest · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Elanga · Nottingham Forest · 30′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCallum Hudson Odoi · Nottingham Forest · 31′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarry Toffolo · Nottingham Forest · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNeco Williams · Nottingham Forest · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 65′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLuis Sinisterra · Bournemouth · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRyan Yates · Nottingham Forest · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCallum Hudson Odoi · Nottingham Forest · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRyan Yates · Nottingham Forest · 86′ · 0.06 xG · on targetWilly Boly · Nottingham Forest · 61′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMorgan Gibbs-White · Nottingham Forest · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRyan Yates · Nottingham Forest · 23′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLuis Sinisterra · Bournemouth · 45′ · 0.12 xG · on targetTaiwo Awoniyi · Nottingham Forest · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetDango Ouattara · Bournemouth · 5′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 77′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 86′ · 0.29 xG · goalChris Wood · Nottingham Forest · 23′ · 0.68 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nottingham Forest: 14 shots, 8 on target, 1.38 xG. Bournemouth: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.20 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Chris Wood · Nottingham Forest · 23′Antoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nottingham Forest 1.38 xG · Bournemouth 1.20 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Nottingham Forest
2Draws
3Bournemouth
BournemouthNottingham Forest · Premier League11
Nottingham ForestBournemouth · Premier League23
BournemouthNottingham Forest · Premier League11
Nottingham ForestBournemouth · Premier League23
BournemouthNottingham Forest · Championship10

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Nottingham Forest1 matches
  • Bournemouth1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Nottingham Forest

Competition
Premier League
Season
2023/24
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
19 May 2024
  • Goals scored1.29 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.76 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.32 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.42 xG/match
  • Shots11.9 shots/match
  • Shots allowed13.4 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.89 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.5 shots/match
  • Possession40.3%
  • Corners3.89 corners/match
  • Corners allowed6.45 corners/match
  • Fouls11.3 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency11%
  • Scoring frequency74%

Bournemouth

Competition
Premier League
Season
2023/24
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
19 May 2024
  • Goals scored1.42 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.76 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.49 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.55 xG/match
  • Shots14.3 shots/match
  • Shots allowed14.1 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.87 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed5.21 shots/match
  • Possession44.1%
  • Corners6.18 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.63 corners/match
  • Fouls13.3 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency24%
  • Scoring frequency82%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Aug 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4