Saudi Pro League · 2026Full timeFull-time analysis
01Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAl-Diraiyah ClubAl-Ahli
Shots18 shots 15 shots
Shots on target3 shots7 shots
Expected goals1.33 xG 0.9 xG
Possession58% 42%
Corners8 corners 4 corners
Fouls8 fouls11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Roger Ibañez · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 36′ · 0.01 xG · on targetIvan Toney · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 37′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAbdulaziz Al-Faraj · Al-Diraiyah Club · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedClayton Diandy · Al-Diraiyah Club · 23′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGeorges-Kévin N'Koudou · Al-Diraiyah Club · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWenderson Galeno · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoger Ibañez · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdulelah Al-Malki · Al-Diraiyah Club · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Laborde · Al-Diraiyah Club · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Rodríguez · Al-Diraiyah Club · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedValentin Atangana Edoa · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMeshari Fahad Al-Nemer · Al-Diraiyah Club · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Laborde · Al-Diraiyah Club · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 42′ · 0.04 xG · on targetClayton Diandy · Al-Diraiyah Club · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Rodríguez · Al-Diraiyah Club · 59′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAbdulelah Al-Malki · Al-Diraiyah Club · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedValentin Atangana Edoa · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 74′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMerih Demiral · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 2′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Gonçalves · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 64′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMeshari Fahad Al-Nemer · Al-Diraiyah Club · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGeorges-Kévin N'Koudou · Al-Diraiyah Club · 8′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMerih Demiral · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 51′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedClayton Diandy · Al-Diraiyah Club · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMeshari Fahad Al-Nemer · Al-Diraiyah Club · 84′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 86′ · 0.12 xG · on targetEduard Spertsyan · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 25′ · 0.13 xG · goalGaëtan Laborde · Al-Diraiyah Club · 27′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 81′ · 0.15 xG · on targetOmar Colley · Al-Diraiyah Club · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Rodríguez · Al-Diraiyah Club · 3′ · 0.34 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al-Diraiyah Club: 18 shots, 3 on target, 1.36 xG. Al-Ahli Jeddah: 15 shots, 7 on target, 0.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Eduard Spertsyan · Al-Ahli Jeddah · 25′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al-Diraiyah Club 1.36 xG · Al-Ahli Jeddah 0.91 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Ahli Jeddah beat Al-Diraiyah Club 1–0. Recorded in this match (Al-Diraiyah Club – Al-Ahli Jeddah): shots 18–15, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 1.33–0.9, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Limited historical context

PitchMath holds only part of the history for this match.

Current-season evidence is below the threshold and the previous-season record is incomplete, so only what is actually stored is shown.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Al-Diraiyah Club1 matches
  • Al-Ahli1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Al-Diraiyah Club

No trustworthy previous-season profile is stored for this club.

Al-Ahli

Competition
Saudi Pro League
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
21 May 2026
  • Goals scored2.09 goals/match
  • Goals allowed0.74 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.82 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed0.74 xG/match
  • Shots13 shots/match
  • Shots allowed8.58 shots/match
  • Shots on target5.3 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed2.45 shots/match
  • Possession50.1%
  • Corners5.58 corners/match
  • Corners allowed3.55 corners/match
  • Cards2.68 cards/match
  • Fouls14.6 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency50%
  • Scoring frequency91%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 13 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4