Saudi Pro League · 2026Full timeFull-time analysis
13Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAl-ShababAl-Qadsiah
Shots8 shots15 shots
Shots on target3 shots6 shots
Expected goals1.27 xG2.64 xG
Possession45%55%
Corners6 corners9 corners
Fouls13 fouls13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Julián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJehad Thakri · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Barry · Al Shabab · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCameron Puertas · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHamad Al-Khorayef · Al Shabab · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 10′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYannick Carrasco · Al Shabab · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMusab Al Juwayr · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 38′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTin Jedvaj · Al Shabab · 45′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMusab Al Juwayr · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 56′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJehad Thakri · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 67′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHammam Al-Hammami · Al Shabab · 15′ · 0.14 xG · goalAbdullah Al-Salem · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJosh Brownhill · Al Shabab · 15′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedCameron Puertas · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 75′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Baah · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 50′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedCameron Puertas · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 75′ · 0.18 xG · on targetMohammed Abu Al-Shamat · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 36′ · 0.23 xG · goalMohammed Hamad Alqahtani · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 75′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedTurki Alammar · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 90′ · 0.40 xG · goalJulián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 80′ · 0.71 xG · goalCarlos Junior · Al Shabab · 49′ · 0.81 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al Shabab: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.30 xG. Al-Qadisiyah FC: 15 shots, 6 on target, 2.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Hammam Al-Hammami · Al Shabab · 15′Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 36′Julián Quiñones · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 80′Turki Alammar · Al-Qadisiyah FC · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al Shabab 1.30 xG · Al-Qadisiyah FC 2.67 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Qadisiyah FC beat Al Shabab 3–1. Recorded in this match (Al Shabab – Al-Qadisiyah FC): shots 8–15, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.27–2.64, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

Last 5 meetings

1Al-Shabab
1Draws
2Al-Qadsiah
Al-QadsiahAl-Shabab · Saudi Pro League22
Al-ShababAl-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League23
Al-ShababAl-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League23
Al-QadsiahAl-Shabab · Saudi Pro League01

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Al-Shabab1 matches
  • Al-Qadsiah1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Al-Shabab

Competition
Saudi Pro League
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
21 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.29 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.68 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.94 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.78 xG/match
  • Shots12.8 shots/match
  • Shots allowed11.4 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.79 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.06 shots/match
  • Possession48.8%
  • Corners5.38 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.5 corners/match
  • Cards2.37 cards/match
  • Fouls11.3 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency21%
  • Scoring frequency74%

Al-Qadsiah

Competition
Saudi Pro League
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
21 May 2026
  • Goals scored2.44 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1 goal/match
  • Expected goals2.49 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.3 xG/match
  • Shots14.8 shots/match
  • Shots allowed9.76 shots/match
  • Shots on target5.18 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.26 shots/match
  • Possession60.5%
  • Corners7.44 corners/match
  • Corners allowed3.32 corners/match
  • Cards2 cards/match
  • Fouls12.2 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency29%
  • Scoring frequency94%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 13 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4