Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Shabab 1–3 Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Al-Qadsiah won 1–3.

Shots
815
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.272.64
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Qadsiah beat Al-Shabab 3–1. Recorded in this match (Al-Shabab – Al-Qadsiah): shots 8–15, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.27–2.64, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots15 shotsAl-Shabab 8 shots, Al-Qadsiah 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsAl-Shabab 3 shots, Al-Qadsiah 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.27 xG2.64 xGAl-Shabab 1.27 xG, Al-Qadsiah 2.64 xG
  • Possession45%55%Al-Shabab 45%, Al-Qadsiah 55%
  • Corners6 corners9 cornersAl-Shabab 6 corners, Al-Qadsiah 9 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsAl-Shabab 13 fouls, Al-Qadsiah 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardAl-Shabab 2 cards, Al-Qadsiah 1 card
  • Passes353 passes431 passesAl-Shabab 353 passes, Al-Qadsiah 431 passes
  • Pass accuracy80.7%79.6%Al-Shabab 80.7%, Al-Qadsiah 79.6%
  • Shots inside box8 shots12 shotsAl-Shabab 8 shots, Al-Qadsiah 12 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks2 blocksAl-Shabab 2 blocks, Al-Qadsiah 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesAl-Shabab 3 saves, Al-Qadsiah 2 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideAl-Shabab 3 offsides, Al-Qadsiah 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Julián Quiñones · Al-Qadsiah · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJehad Thakri · Al-Qadsiah · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Barry · Al-Shabab · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCameron Puertas · Al-Qadsiah · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHamad Al-Khorayef · Al-Shabab · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYannick Carrasco · Al-Shabab · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Al-Qadsiah · 10′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYannick Carrasco · Al-Shabab · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMusab Al Juwayr · Al-Qadsiah · 38′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTin Jedvaj · Al-Shabab · 45′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMusab Al Juwayr · Al-Qadsiah · 56′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJehad Thakri · Al-Qadsiah · 67′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHammam Al-Hammami · Al-Shabab · 15′ · 0.14 xG · goalAbdullah Al-Salem · Al-Qadsiah · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJosh Brownhill · Al-Shabab · 15′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedCameron Puertas · Al-Qadsiah · 75′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Baah · Al-Qadsiah · 50′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedCameron Puertas · Al-Qadsiah · 75′ · 0.18 xG · on targetMohammed Abu Al-Shamat · Al-Qadsiah · 36′ · 0.23 xG · goalMohammed Hamad Alqahtani · Al-Qadsiah · 75′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedTurki Alammar · Al-Qadsiah · 90′ · 0.40 xG · goalJulián Quiñones · Al-Qadsiah · 80′ · 0.71 xG · goalCarlos Junior · Al-Shabab · 49′ · 0.81 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al-Shabab: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.30 xG. Al-Qadsiah: 15 shots, 6 on target, 2.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Hammam Al-Hammami · Al-Shabab · 15′Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat · Al-Qadsiah · 36′Julián Quiñones · Al-Qadsiah · 80′Turki Alammar · Al-Qadsiah · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al-Shabab 1.30 xG · Al-Qadsiah 2.67 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Al-Shabab
1Draws
2Al-Qadsiah
Al-Qadsiah — Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League2–2
Al-Shabab — Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League2–3
Al-Shabab — Al-Qadsiah · Saudi Pro League2–3
Al-Qadsiah — Al-Shabab · Saudi Pro League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Al-Shabab1 matches
  • Al-Qadsiah1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Al-Shabab

Competition
Saudi Pro League
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
21 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.29 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.68 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.56 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.63 xG/match
  • Shots12.8 shots/match
  • Shots allowed11.4 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.79 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.06 shots/match
  • Possession48.8%
  • Corners5.38 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.5 corners/match
  • Cards2.37 cards/match
  • Fouls11.1 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency21%
  • Scoring frequency74%

Al-Qadsiah

Competition
Saudi Pro League
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
21 May 2026
  • Goals scored2.44 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1 goal/match
  • Expected goals2.16 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.14 xG/match
  • Shots14.7 shots/match
  • Shots allowed9.74 shots/match
  • Shots on target5.15 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.29 shots/match
  • Possession60.6%
  • Corners7.44 corners/match
  • Corners allowed3.32 corners/match
  • Cards2 cards/match
  • Fouls12.3 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency29%
  • Scoring frequency94%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 13 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4