Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Ahli 4–0 Abha · Saudi Pro League

4–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Al-Ahli won 4–0.

Shots
1612
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
2.771.27
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Ahli beat Abha 4–0. Recorded in this match (Al-Ahli – Abha): shots 16–12, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 2.77–1.27, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots12 shotsAl-Ahli 16 shots, Abha 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsAl-Ahli 7 shots, Abha 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.77 xG1.27 xGAl-Ahli 2.77 xG, Abha 1.27 xG
  • Possession50%50%Al-Ahli 50%, Abha 50%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersAl-Ahli 2 corners, Abha 4 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls11 foulsAl-Ahli 18 fouls, Abha 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsAl-Ahli 2 cards, Abha 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Loreintz Rosier · Abha · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Al-Ahli · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdou Diallo · Abha · 61′ · 0.01 xG · on targetEduard Spertsyan · Al-Ahli · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Al-Ahli · 51′ · 0.02 xG · goalFrancisco Trincão · Al-Ahli · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWenderson Galeno · Al-Ahli · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedValentin Atangana Edoa · Al-Ahli · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEduard Spertsyan · Al-Ahli · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedValentin Atangana Edoa · Al-Ahli · 63′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMohammed Al-Zaid · Abha · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLoreintz Rosier · Abha · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKeshim Al-Qahtani · Abha · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWenderson Galeno · Al-Ahli · 40′ · 0.06 xG · on targetWenderson Galeno · Al-Ahli · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMichy Batshuayi · Abha · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMichy Batshuayi · Abha · 73′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Al-Zaid · Abha · 83′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAbdou Diallo · Abha · 44′ · 0.13 xG · on targetIvan Toney · Al-Ahli · 57′ · 0.13 xG · goalMichy Batshuayi · Abha · 65′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMeshal Al Mutairi · Al-Ahli · 90′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedNasser Al-Daajani · Abha · 28′ · 0.32 xG · on targetAbdou Diallo · Abha · 31′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedSaleh Abu Al-Shamat · Al-Ahli · 80′ · 0.37 xG · on targetIvan Toney · Al-Ahli · 45′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Al-Ahli · 5′ · 0.51 xG · goalIvan Toney · Al-Ahli · 13′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Al-Ahli: 16 shots, 7 on target, 2.79 xG. Abha: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Ivan Toney · Al-Ahli · 5′Ivan Toney · Al-Ahli · 13′Francisco Trincão · Al-Ahli · 51′Ivan Toney · Al-Ahli · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Al-Ahli 2.79 xG · Abha 1.29 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Al-Ahli
1Draws
1Abha
Al-Ahli — Abha · Saudi Pro League5–1
Abha — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League0–6
Al-Ahli — Abha · Saudi Pro League1–1
Abha — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.07 days

Al-Ahli / Abha

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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