PitchMath
Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Qadsiah 3–1 Al-Faisaly · Saudi Pro League

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Al-Qadsiah won 3–1.

Shots
175
Shots on target
92
Expected goals
2.150.7
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Qadsiah beat Al-Faisaly 3–1. Recorded in this match (Al-Qadsiah – Al-Faisaly): shots 17–5, shots on target 9–2, expected goals 2.15–0.7, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al-Faisaly show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Al-Faisaly's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Qadsiah · Al-Faisaly8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-QadsiahAl-FaisalyBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match8 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against8.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots5 shotsAl-Qadsiah 17 shots, Al-Faisaly 5 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots2 shotsAl-Qadsiah 9 shots, Al-Faisaly 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.15 xG0.7 xGAl-Qadsiah 2.15 xG, Al-Faisaly 0.7 xG
  • Possession57%43%Al-Qadsiah 57%, Al-Faisaly 43%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersAl-Qadsiah 4 corners, Al-Faisaly 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls7 foulsAl-Qadsiah 12 fouls, Al-Faisaly 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards3 cardsAl-Qadsiah 0 cards, Al-Faisaly 3 cards
  • Passes520 passes386 passesAl-Qadsiah 520 passes, Al-Faisaly 386 passes
  • Pass accuracy90.2%83.9%Al-Qadsiah 90.2%, Al-Faisaly 83.9%
  • Shots inside box13 shots2 shotsAl-Qadsiah 13 shots, Al-Faisaly 2 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block1 blockAl-Qadsiah 1 block, Al-Faisaly 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save7 savesAl-Qadsiah 1 save, Al-Faisaly 7 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides0 offsidesAl-Qadsiah 4 offsides, Al-Faisaly 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 5′Mateo ReteguiGoal · Al-Qadsiah
  2. 12′Abdoulaye SeckGoal · Al-Faisaly
  3. 16′Mohammed Al-ShanqitiYellow card · Al-Faisaly
  4. 30′Mohammed Abu Al-ShamatGoal · Al-Qadsiah
  5. Half-time
  6. 51′Alexandre MendyYellow card · Al-Faisaly
  7. 56′Mohammed Al-ShanqitiGoal · Al-Faisaly
  8. 65′Jaime SeoaneYellow card · Al-Faisaly
  9. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 58′Al-Faisaly · 1 player changeYaseen Barnawi
  • 74′Al-Faisaly · 2 player changesAhmad Al Mhemaid · Yousef Al-Shammari
  • 80′Al-Qadsiah · 2 player changesTurki Alammar · Mohammed Hamad Alqahtani
  • 82′Al-Faisaly · 2 player changesAndré Jordy Ella · Ayman Fallatah
  • 90′Al-Qadsiah · 1 player changeEyad Houssa

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Qadsiah favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Faisaly in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Qadsiah4 matchesAl-Faisaly4 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41 goal/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/42.5 goals/match
2.26 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.12 xG/match
16.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/48 shots/match
6.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/43.5 shots/match
56.5% ●Possession4/449.3%
7.5 corners/match ●Corners4/41.5 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls4/410.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAl-QadsiahAl-Faisaly
CompetitionSaudi Pro League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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