PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2026

Gençlerbirliği 1–1 Erzurumspor FK · Süper Lig

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Gençlerbirliği and Erzurumspor FK drew 1–1.

Shots
169
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.80.97
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gençlerbirliği and Erzurumspor FK drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Gençlerbirliği – Erzurumspor FK): shots 16–9, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.8–0.97, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Erzurumspor FK have recorded the higher season possession share.

42%PossessionGençlerbirliği · Erzurumspor FK● 51%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGençlerbirliğiErzurumspor FKBaseline
Possession42%51%46.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots9 shotsGençlerbirliği 16 shots, Erzurumspor FK 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsGençlerbirliği 5 shots, Erzurumspor FK 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.8 xG0.97 xGGençlerbirliği 0.8 xG, Erzurumspor FK 0.97 xG
  • Possession48%52%Gençlerbirliği 48%, Erzurumspor FK 52%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersGençlerbirliği 3 corners, Erzurumspor FK 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls11 foulsGençlerbirliği 15 fouls, Erzurumspor FK 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsGençlerbirliği 3 cards, Erzurumspor FK 3 cards
  • Passes403 passes453 passesGençlerbirliği 403 passes, Erzurumspor FK 453 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.4%80.4%Gençlerbirliği 79.4%, Erzurumspor FK 80.4%
  • Shots inside box7 shots6 shotsGençlerbirliği 7 shots, Erzurumspor FK 6 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks1 blockGençlerbirliği 5 blocks, Erzurumspor FK 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves3 savesGençlerbirliği 3 saves, Erzurumspor FK 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideGençlerbirliği 2 offsides, Erzurumspor FK 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 45′Mustafa YumluYellow card · Erzurumspor FK
  2. Half-time
  3. 55′Eren TozluGoal · Erzurumspor FK
  4. 60′Pedro PereiraYellow card · Gençlerbirliği
  5. 66′Adama Malouda TraoréGoal · Gençlerbirliği
  6. 68′Oğulcan ÜlgünYellow card · Gençlerbirliği
  7. 82′Elisha OwusuYellow card · Erzurumspor FK
  8. 90′Ousmane DiabateYellow card · Gençlerbirliği
  9. 90′Nihad MujakićYellow card · Erzurumspor FK
  10. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 71′Erzurumspor FK · 1 player changeMiguel Cardoso
  • 71′Gençlerbirliği · 1 player changeSalih Uçan
  • 71′Erzurumspor FK · 1 player changeIbrahim Diabaté
  • 80′Gençlerbirliği · 1 player changeEnsar Kemaloğlu
  • 85′Erzurumspor FK · 2 player changesNariman Akhundzade · Festy Ebosele
  • 89′Erzurumspor FK · 1 player changeYakup Kırtay
  • 90′Gençlerbirliği · 1 player changeMetehan Baltacı

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gençlerbirliği favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Erzurumspor FK in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gençlerbirliği3 matchesErzurumspor FK3 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/30.33 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32.67 goals/match
1.17 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.59 xG/match
12 shots/match ▲Shots3/38.67 shots/match
3.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/33 shots/match
42%Possession3/3● 51%
3 corners/matchCorners3/3● 3.67 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/311.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 28 Aug 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGençlerbirliğiErzurumspor FK
CompetitionSüper Lig
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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