Championship · 2026

Charlton Athletic 2–1 Derby County · Championship

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Charlton Athletic won 2–1.

Shots
1315
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.071.01
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Charlton Athletic beat Derby County 2–1. Recorded in this match (Charlton Athletic – Derby County): shots 13–15, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.07–1.01, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots15 shotsCharlton Athletic 13 shots, Derby County 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsCharlton Athletic 4 shots, Derby County 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.07 xG1.01 xGCharlton Athletic 1.07 xG, Derby County 1.01 xG
  • Possession45%55%Charlton Athletic 45%, Derby County 55%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersCharlton Athletic 5 corners, Derby County 4 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls15 foulsCharlton Athletic 7 fouls, Derby County 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards3 cardsCharlton Athletic 0 cards, Derby County 3 cards
  • Passes368 passes461 passesCharlton Athletic 368 passes, Derby County 461 passes
  • Pass accuracy76.1%76.1%Charlton Athletic 76.1%, Derby County 76.1%
  • Shots inside box9 shots11 shotsCharlton Athletic 9 shots, Derby County 11 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks6 blocksCharlton Athletic 5 blocks, Derby County 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesCharlton Athletic 3 saves, Derby County 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideCharlton Athletic 0 offsides, Derby County 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Charlie Taylor · Derby County · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · Charlton Athletic · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · Charlton Athletic · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBobby Clark · Derby County · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRhian Brewster · Derby County · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJacob Widell Zetterström · Derby County · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · Charlton Athletic · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBobby Clark · Derby County · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSammie Szmodics · Derby County · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatt Godden · Charlton Athletic · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBobby Clark · Derby County · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDion Sanderson · Derby County · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDanny McNamara · Charlton Athletic · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 43′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBilly Koumetio · Charlton Athletic · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSammie Szmodics · Derby County · 21′ · 0.06 xG · on targetCarlton Morris · Derby County · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 80′ · 0.09 xG · goalOscar Fraulo · Derby County · 75′ · 0.10 xG · on targetBilly Koumetio · Charlton Athletic · 2′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedCarlton Morris · Derby County · 90′ · 0.13 xG · on targetCarlton Morris · Derby County · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 16′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedSammie Szmodics · Derby County · 23′ · 0.14 xG · goalOscar Fraulo · Derby County · 56′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedLloyd Jones · Charlton Athletic · 61′ · 0.20 xG · goalNathaniel Chalobah · Charlton Athletic · 54′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Charlton Athletic: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.05 xG. Derby County: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Lloyd Jones · Charlton Athletic · 61′Tyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 80′Sammie Szmodics · Derby County · 23′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Charlton Athletic 1.05 xG · Derby County 1.02 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Charlton Athletic
1Draws
3Derby County
Charlton Athletic — Derby County · Championship1–2
Derby County — Charlton Athletic · Championship1–1
Derby County — Charlton Athletic · League One1–2
Charlton Athletic — Derby County · League One0–1
Derby County — Charlton Athletic · League One2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Charlton Athletic1 matches
  • Derby County1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Charlton Athletic

Competition
Championship
Season
2025/26
Sample
46 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
23 May 2026
  • Goals scored0.96 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.26 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.03 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.35 xG/match
  • Shots10.9 shots/match
  • Shots allowed15.6 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.42 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.2 shots/match
  • Possession42.5%
  • Corners4.16 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.33 corners/match
  • Fouls12.1 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency28%
  • Scoring frequency78%

Derby County

Competition
Championship
Season
2025/26
Sample
46 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
23 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.46 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.28 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.23 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.19 xG/match
  • Shots11 shots/match
  • Shots allowed12.7 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.6 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.27 shots/match
  • Possession44.7%
  • Corners4.53 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.2 corners/match
  • Fouls12.3 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency26%
  • Scoring frequency91%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4