Deportivo Alavés 1–0 Villarreal · La Liga
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Deportivo Alavés won 1–0.
- Shots
- 9–19
- Shots on target
- 2–6
- Expected goals
- 0.81–1.4
- Possession
- 24%–76%
Full time
What the match recorded
Deportivo Alavés beat Villarreal 1–0. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Alavés – Villarreal): shots 9–19, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.81–1.4, possession 24%–76%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
The teams have contrasting possession records
weakVillarreal have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.3 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Deportivo Alavés | Villarreal | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 42.7% | 61% | 50.8% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
Deportivo Alavés show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakDeportivo Alavés's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Deportivo Alavés | Villarreal | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 14 shots/match | 14.7 shots/match | 13 shots/match |
| Shots against | 11 shots/match | 15 shots/match | 12.5 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
This match
Match statistics
As it happened
Key moments
- 31′Lucas BoyéGoal · Deportivo Alavés
- Half-time
- 49′Abderrahman RebbachYellow card · Deportivo Alavés
- 86′Nicolas PépéYellow card · Villarreal
- 89′Mariano DíazYellow card · Deportivo Alavés
- 90′Antonio SiveraYellow card · Deportivo Alavés
- 90′Renato VeigaYellow card · Villarreal
- Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
- 54′Deportivo Alavés · 2 player changesMariano Díaz · Youssef Enriquez
- 62′Villarreal · 2 player changesAyoze Pérez · Alexander Freeman
- 63′Villarreal · 1 player changeAlberto Moleiro
- 70′Villarreal · 1 player changeIlias Akhomach
- 71′Deportivo Alavés · 2 player changesCarlos Benavídez · Denis Suárez
- 82′Deportivo Alavés · 1 player changeAitor Mañas
- 82′Villarreal · 1 player changeTani Oluwaseyi
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Deportivo Alavés favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Villarreal in 0 · 13 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
Deportivo Alavés / Villarreal
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Team rankings in La Liga
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