PitchMath
La Liga · 2026

Sevilla 1–3 Atlético Madrid · La Liga

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 1–3.

Shots
2112
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
0.950.93
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Madrid beat Sevilla 3–1. Recorded in this match (Sevilla – Atlético Madrid): shots 21–12, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 0.95–0.93, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Atlético Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

42%PossessionSevilla · Atlético Madrid● 54.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSevillaAtlético MadridBaseline
Possession42%54.3%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots12 shotsSevilla 21 shots, Atlético Madrid 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsSevilla 5 shots, Atlético Madrid 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.95 xG0.93 xGSevilla 0.95 xG, Atlético Madrid 0.93 xG
  • Possession42%58%Sevilla 42%, Atlético Madrid 58%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersSevilla 4 corners, Atlético Madrid 2 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls16 foulsSevilla 20 fouls, Atlético Madrid 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsSevilla 2 cards, Atlético Madrid 2 cards
  • Passes359 passes530 passesSevilla 359 passes, Atlético Madrid 530 passes
  • Pass accuracy80.8%85.7%Sevilla 80.8%, Atlético Madrid 85.7%
  • Shots inside box12 shots9 shotsSevilla 12 shots, Atlético Madrid 9 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks4 blocksSevilla 7 blocks, Atlético Madrid 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesSevilla 2 saves, Atlético Madrid 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideSevilla 1 offside, Atlético Madrid 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 4′Alex BaenaGoal · Atlético Madrid
  2. 26′Ademola LookmanGoal · Atlético Madrid
  3. 33′Alex BaenaGoal · Atlético Madrid
  4. 45′Marcos LlorenteYellow card · Atlético Madrid
  5. Half-time
  6. 67′Miguel SierraGoal · Sevilla
  7. 89′Isaac RomeroYellow card · Sevilla
  8. 90′Gabriel SuazoYellow card · Sevilla
  9. 90′Marc PubillYellow card · Atlético Madrid
  10. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 55′Sevilla · 2 player changesGiorgi Kochorashvili · Chidera Ejuke
  • 66′Atlético Madrid · 2 player changesArnau Ortiz · José María Giménez
  • 68′Sevilla · 1 player changeIsaac Romero
  • 72′Atlético Madrid · 1 player changeKoke
  • 80′Sevilla · 1 player changeAlfon González
  • 85′Atlético Madrid · 2 player changesJohnny Cardoso · Rodrigo Mendoza

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Sevilla
0Draws
3Atlético Madrid
Sevilla — Atlético Madrid · La Liga2–1
Atlético Madrid — Sevilla · La Liga3–0
Sevilla — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–2
Atlético Madrid — Sevilla · La Liga4–3
Sevilla — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sevilla favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sevilla3 matchesAtlético Madrid3 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1 goal/match
1.22 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.84 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 15.3 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 5 shots/match
42%Possession3/3● 54.3%
2.67 corners/matchCorners3/3● 4.33 corners/match
18 fouls/matchFouls3/315 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSevillaAtlético Madrid
CompetitionLa Liga
Head-to-headSevilla — Atlético Madrid
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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