PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Genoa 1–4 Como · Serie A

1–4Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Como won 1–4.

Shots
1120
Shots on target
29
Expected goals
0.671.53
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Como beat Genoa 4–1. Recorded in this match (Genoa – Como): shots 11–20, shots on target 2–9, expected goals 0.67–1.53, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Como show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Como's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsGenoa · Como20.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGenoaComoBaseline
Shots10 shots/match20.3 shots/match15.2 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match13.7 shots/match14.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Como have recorded the higher season possession share.

46%PossessionGenoa · Como● 59.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGenoaComoBaseline
Possession46%59.7%52.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots20 shotsGenoa 11 shots, Como 20 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots9 shotsGenoa 2 shots, Como 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.67 xG1.53 xGGenoa 0.67 xG, Como 1.53 xG
  • Possession38%62%Genoa 38%, Como 62%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersGenoa 5 corners, Como 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls7 foulsGenoa 8 fouls, Como 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardGenoa 2 cards, Como 1 card
  • Passes360 passes618 passesGenoa 360 passes, Como 618 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.3%91.9%Genoa 85.3%, Como 91.9%
  • Shots inside box8 shots9 shotsGenoa 8 shots, Como 9 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks5 blocksGenoa 4 blocks, Como 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves1 saveGenoa 5 saves, Como 1 save
  • Offsides6 offsides2 offsidesGenoa 6 offsides, Como 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 19′Milutin OsmajićGoal · Genoa
  2. 25′Martin BaturinaGoal · Como
  3. 30′Assane DiaoGoal · Como
  4. 36′Djibril SowYellow card · Genoa
  5. 40′Nico PazGoal · Como
  6. Half-time
  7. 60′Martin BaturinaYellow card · Como
  8. 62′Leo ØstigårdYellow card · Genoa
  9. 78′Assane DiaoGoal · Como
  10. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Genoa · 1 player changeVitinha
  • 66′Genoa · 2 player changesKingsley Ehizibue · Junior Messias
  • 66′Como · 2 player changesMaxence Caqueret · Moise Kean
  • 75′Genoa · 1 player changeAlexsandro Amorim
  • 80′Como · 2 player changesSamuele Ricci · Luis Milla
  • 81′Genoa · 1 player changeFranz-Ethan Meichtry
  • 84′Como · 1 player changeMattia Liberali

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Genoa3-5-2
  1. Justin BijlowG
  2. Leo ØstigårdD
  3. Stefano SabelliD
  4. Johan VásquezD
  5. Alessandro MarcandalliD
  6. Mikael EllertssonD
  7. Tommaso BaldanziM
  8. Morten FrendrupM
  9. Djibril SowM
  10. Milutin OsmajićF
  11. Lorenzo ColomboF
Como4-2-3-1
  1. Jean ButezG
  2. Álex ValleD
  3. Jacobo RamónD
  4. Yan CoutoD
  5. Trevoh ChalobahD
  6. Máximo PerroneM
  7. Lucas Da CunhaM
  8. Nico PazM
  9. Anastasios DouvikasF
  10. Assane DiaoF
  11. Martin BaturinaF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Genoa
3Draws
2Como
Genoa — Como · Serie A0–2
Como — Genoa · Serie A1–1
Como — Genoa · Serie A1–0
Genoa — Como · Serie A1–1
Como — Genoa · Serie B2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Genoa favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Como in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Genoa3 matchesComo3 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2.33 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1 goal/match
0.63 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.35 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 20.3 shots/match
1.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 7 shots/match
46%Possession3/3● 59.7%
4 corners/matchCorners3/3● 7 corners/match
8 fouls/matchFouls3/37.67 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 4 Sept 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGenoaComo
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headGenoa — Como
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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