Manchester City 2–1 Bournemouth · Premier League
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Manchester City won 2–1.
- Shots
- 13–5
- Shots on target
- 6–4
- Expected goals
- 2.36–0.63
- Possession
- 66%–34%
Full time
What the match recorded
Manchester City beat Bournemouth 2–1. Recorded in this match (Manchester City – Bournemouth): shots 13–5, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 2.36–0.63, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
Manchester City: 13 shots, 6 on target, 2.39 xG. Bournemouth: 5 shots, 4 on target, 0.63 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester City 2.39 xG · Bournemouth 0.63 xG.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Season-opening preview
Current-season evidence is still building.
This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.
1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade
Current season so far
Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.
- Manchester City1 matches
- Bournemouth1 matches
Previous-season context
Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.
Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.
Manchester City
- Competition
- Premier League
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored2.03 goals/match
- Goals allowed0.92 goals/match
- Expected goals1.87 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.16 xG/match
- Shots15.7 shots/match
- Shots allowed9.71 shots/match
- Shots on target5.39 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed3.34 shots/match
- Possession60.6%
- Corners6.42 corners/match
- Corners allowed3.82 corners/match
- Cards1.83 cards/match
- Fouls9.68 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency42%
- Scoring frequency89%
Bournemouth
- Competition
- Premier League
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored1.53 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.42 goals/match
- Expected goals1.64 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.47 xG/match
- Shots13.8 shots/match
- Shots allowed12.6 shots/match
- Shots on target4.66 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.26 shots/match
- Possession50.2%
- Corners5.58 corners/match
- Corners allowed5.29 corners/match
- Cards2.42 cards/match
- Fouls12 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency29%
- Scoring frequency82%
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
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