Premier League · 2026

Manchester City 2–1 Bournemouth · Premier League

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 2–1.

Shots
135
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
2.360.63
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat Bournemouth 2–1. Recorded in this match (Manchester City – Bournemouth): shots 13–5, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 2.36–0.63, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots5 shotsManchester City 13 shots, Bournemouth 5 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsManchester City 6 shots, Bournemouth 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.36 xG0.63 xGManchester City 2.36 xG, Bournemouth 0.63 xG
  • Possession66%34%Manchester City 66%, Bournemouth 34%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersManchester City 8 corners, Bournemouth 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsManchester City 11 fouls, Bournemouth 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsManchester City 1 card, Bournemouth 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rayan · Bournemouth · 14′ · 0.04 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 39′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPhil Foden · Manchester City · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 33′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Manchester City · 67′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNico O'Reilly · Manchester City · 5′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 8′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 44′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Jebbison · Bournemouth · 79′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJustin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 41′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMarc Guéhi · Manchester City · 84′ · 0.13 xG · goalErling Haaland · Manchester City · 72′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedRico Lewis · Manchester City · 4′ · 0.18 xG · on targetJoško Gvardiol · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.20 xG · goalMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 26′ · 0.35 xG · goalErling Haaland · Manchester City · 75′ · 0.47 xG · on targetMarc Guéhi · Manchester City · 51′ · 0.81 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester City: 13 shots, 6 on target, 2.39 xG. Bournemouth: 5 shots, 4 on target, 0.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Marc Guéhi · Manchester City · 84′Joško Gvardiol · Manchester City · 90′Marcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 26′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester City 2.39 xG · Bournemouth 0.63 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Manchester City
1Draws
1Bournemouth
Bournemouth — Manchester City · Premier League1–1
Manchester City — Bournemouth · Premier League3–1
Manchester City — Bournemouth · Premier League3–1
Bournemouth — Manchester City · Premier League2–1
Bournemouth — Manchester City · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Manchester City1 matches
  • Bournemouth1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Manchester City

Competition
Premier League
Season
2025/26
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored2.03 goals/match
  • Goals allowed0.92 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.87 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.16 xG/match
  • Shots15.7 shots/match
  • Shots allowed9.71 shots/match
  • Shots on target5.39 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.34 shots/match
  • Possession60.6%
  • Corners6.42 corners/match
  • Corners allowed3.82 corners/match
  • Cards1.83 cards/match
  • Fouls9.68 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency42%
  • Scoring frequency89%

Bournemouth

Competition
Premier League
Season
2025/26
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.53 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.42 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.64 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.47 xG/match
  • Shots13.8 shots/match
  • Shots allowed12.6 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.66 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.26 shots/match
  • Possession50.2%
  • Corners5.58 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.29 corners/match
  • Cards2.42 cards/match
  • Fouls12 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency29%
  • Scoring frequency82%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4