Premier League · 2026
40Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Brighton & Hove Albion won 4–0.

Shots
216
Shots on target
60
Expected goals
3.670.31
Possession
73%27%

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots6 shotsBrighton & Hove Albion 21 shots, Aston Villa 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots0 shotsBrighton & Hove Albion 6 shots, Aston Villa 0 shots
  • Expected goals3.67 xG0.31 xGBrighton & Hove Albion 3.67 xG, Aston Villa 0.31 xG
  • Possession73%27%Brighton & Hove Albion 73%, Aston Villa 27%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersBrighton & Hove Albion 5 corners, Aston Villa 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsBrighton & Hove Albion 12 fouls, Aston Villa 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsBrighton & Hove Albion 2 cards, Aston Villa 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Emiliano Buendía · Aston Villa · 4′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGeorginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuka Vušković · Brighton & Hove Albion · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIan Maatsen · Aston Villa · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiego Gómez · Brighton & Hove Albion · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCostinha · Brighton & Hove Albion · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCostinha · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEmiliano Buendía · Aston Villa · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJohn McGinn · Aston Villa · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYasin Ayari · Brighton & Hove Albion · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGeorginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEmiliano Buendía · Aston Villa · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYasin Ayari · Brighton & Hove Albion · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDiego Gómez · Brighton & Hove Albion · 57′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMats Wieffer · Brighton & Hove Albion · 42′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMaxim De Cuyper · Brighton & Hove Albion · 43′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCharalampos Kostoulas · Brighton & Hove Albion · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCharalampos Kostoulas · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMaxim De Cuyper · Brighton & Hove Albion · 44′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDiego Gómez · Brighton & Hove Albion · 45′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJack Hinshelwood · Brighton & Hove Albion · 58′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRoss Barkley · Aston Villa · 68′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLuka Vušković · Brighton & Hove Albion · 54′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedVictor Lindelöf · Brighton & Hove Albion · 8′ · 0.18 xG · goalMaxim De Cuyper · Brighton & Hove Albion · 8′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedJack Hinshelwood · Brighton & Hove Albion · 31′ · 0.42 xG · goalJack Hinshelwood · Brighton & Hove Albion · 30′ · 0.83 xG · goalMaxim De Cuyper · Brighton & Hove Albion · 18′ · 1.00 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brighton & Hove Albion: 22 shots, 7 on target, 3.84 xG. Aston Villa: 6 shots, 0 on target, 0.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Victor Lindelöf · Brighton & Hove Albion · 8′Maxim De Cuyper · Brighton & Hove Albion · 18′Jack Hinshelwood · Brighton & Hove Albion · 30′Jack Hinshelwood · Brighton & Hove Albion · 31′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 3.84 xG · Aston Villa 0.30 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Brighton & Hove Albion beat Aston Villa 4–0. Recorded in this match (Brighton & Hove Albion – Aston Villa): shots 21–6, shots on target 6–0, expected goals 3.67–0.31, possession 73%–27%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Brighton & Hove Albion
1Draws
3Aston Villa
Aston VillaBrighton & Hove Albion · Premier League10
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa · Premier League34
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa · Premier League03
Aston VillaBrighton & Hove Albion · Premier League22
Brighton & Hove AlbionAston Villa · Premier League10

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Brighton & Hove Albion1 matches
  • Aston Villa1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Brighton & Hove Albion

Competition
Premier League
Season
2025/26
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.37 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.21 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.51 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.3 xG/match
  • Shots13 shots/match
  • Shots allowed11.7 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.63 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.89 shots/match
  • Possession54%
  • Corners4.87 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.82 corners/match
  • Cards2.4 cards/match
  • Fouls11.9 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency26%
  • Scoring frequency76%

Aston Villa

Competition
Premier League
Season
2025/26
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.47 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.29 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.26 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.44 xG/match
  • Shots12.7 shots/match
  • Shots allowed12.9 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.47 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.39 shots/match
  • Possession53.6%
  • Corners5.24 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.92 corners/match
  • Cards1.57 cards/match
  • Fouls9.79 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency24%
  • Scoring frequency74%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4