This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Brighton & Hove Albion won 4–0.
- Shots
- 21–6
- Shots on target
- 6–0
- Expected goals
- 3.67–0.31
- Possession
- 73%–27%
This match
Match statistics
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
Brighton & Hove Albion: 22 shots, 7 on target, 3.84 xG. Aston Villa: 6 shots, 0 on target, 0.30 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 3.84 xG · Aston Villa 0.30 xG.
Full time
What the match recorded
Brighton & Hove Albion beat Aston Villa 4–0. Recorded in this match (Brighton & Hove Albion – Aston Villa): shots 21–6, shots on target 6–0, expected goals 3.67–0.31, possession 73%–27%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Season-opening preview
Current-season evidence is still building.
This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.
1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade
Current season so far
Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.
- Brighton & Hove Albion1 matches
- Aston Villa1 matches
Previous-season context
Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.
Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.
Brighton & Hove Albion
- Competition
- Premier League
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored1.37 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.21 goals/match
- Expected goals1.51 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.3 xG/match
- Shots13 shots/match
- Shots allowed11.7 shots/match
- Shots on target4.63 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed3.89 shots/match
- Possession54%
- Corners4.87 corners/match
- Corners allowed4.82 corners/match
- Cards2.4 cards/match
- Fouls11.9 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency26%
- Scoring frequency76%
Aston Villa
- Competition
- Premier League
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored1.47 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.29 goals/match
- Expected goals1.26 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.44 xG/match
- Shots12.7 shots/match
- Shots allowed12.9 shots/match
- Shots on target4.47 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.39 shots/match
- Possession53.6%
- Corners5.24 corners/match
- Corners allowed4.92 corners/match
- Cards1.57 cards/match
- Fouls9.79 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency24%
- Scoring frequency74%
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
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