PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Estádio da Luz

Benfica 2–3 Qarabag · UEFA Champions League

2–3Historical match

Qarabag

WWWWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Qarabag won 2–3.

Shots
1410
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.381.52
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Qarabağ beat Benfica 3–2. Recorded in this match (Benfica – Qarabağ): shots 14–10, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.38–1.52, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots10 shotsBenfica 14 shots, Qarabag 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsBenfica 3 shots, Qarabag 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.38 xG1.52 xGBenfica 1.38 xG, Qarabag 1.52 xG
  • Possession53%47%Benfica 53%, Qarabag 47%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersBenfica 8 corners, Qarabag 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls6 foulsBenfica 11 fouls, Qarabag 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Richard Ríos · Benfica · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarko Janković · Qarabağ · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Schjelderup · Benfica · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeorgiy Sudakov · Benfica · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Prestianni · Benfica · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCamilo Durán · Qarabağ · 48′ · 0.03 xG · goalAmar Dedić · Benfica · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRichard Ríos · Benfica · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVangelis Pavlidis · Benfica · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Prestianni · Benfica · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Aursnes · Benfica · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKady Borges · Qarabağ · 33′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGeorgiy Sudakov · Benfica · 51′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMarko Janković · Qarabağ · 33′ · 0.08 xG · on targetOlexiy Kashchuk · Qarabağ · 86′ · 0.10 xG · goalOlexiy Kashchuk · Qarabağ · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedCamilo Durán · Qarabağ · 63′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRichard Ríos · Benfica · 54′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Barrenechea · Benfica · 6′ · 0.14 xG · goalLeandro Andrade · Qarabağ · 30′ · 0.16 xG · goalHenrique Araújo · Benfica · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedCamilo Durán · Qarabağ · 32′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedCamilo Durán · Qarabağ · 45′ · 0.43 xG · on targetVangelis Pavlidis · Benfica · 16′ · 0.55 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Benfica: 14 shots, 3 on target, 1.37 xG. Qarabağ: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Enzo Barrenechea · Benfica · 6′Vangelis Pavlidis · Benfica · 16′Leandro Andrade · Qarabağ · 30′Camilo Durán · Qarabağ · 48′Olexiy Kashchuk · Qarabağ · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Benfica 1.37 xG · Qarabağ 1.51 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Benfica favored in 2 of 9 directional metrics · Qarabag in 2 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Benfica5 matchesQarabag7 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/7▲ 2.57 goals/match
0.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/71 goal/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots5/310.3 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/33.67 shots/match
52.6% ●Possession5/348%
5.4 corners/match ●Corners5/32.33 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/39.33 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 16 Sept 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsBenficaQarabag
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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