PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Allianz Arena

FC Bayern München 3–1 Chelsea · UEFA Champions League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 3–1.

Shots
169
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
2.070.73
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat Chelsea 3–1. Recorded in this match (FC Bayern München – Chelsea): shots 16–9, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 2.07–0.73, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots9 shotsFC Bayern München 16 shots, Chelsea 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsFC Bayern München 5 shots, Chelsea 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.07 xG0.73 xGFC Bayern München 2.07 xG, Chelsea 0.73 xG
  • Possession56%44%FC Bayern München 56%, Chelsea 44%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersFC Bayern München 6 corners, Chelsea 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls7 foulsFC Bayern München 12 fouls, Chelsea 7 fouls

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • FC Bayern München1 matches
  • Chelsea1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

These two clubs played in different competitions last season, so the values are shown side by side without ranking them against each other.

FC Bayern München

Competition
Bundesliga
Season
2024/25
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
26 May 2025
  • Goals scored2.91 goals/match
  • Goals allowed0.94 goals/match
  • Expected goals2.39 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed0.75 xG/match
  • Shots18.9 shots/match
  • Shots allowed6.68 shots/match
  • Shots on target7.85 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed2.38 shots/match
  • Possession68.4%
  • Corners6.47 corners/match
  • Corners allowed2.53 corners/match
  • Fouls8.59 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency47%
  • Scoring frequency97%

Chelsea

Competition
Premier League
Season
2024/25
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
25 May 2025
  • Goals scored1.68 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.13 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.81 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.27 xG/match
  • Shots15.7 shots/match
  • Shots allowed10.5 shots/match
  • Shots on target5.74 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.13 shots/match
  • Possession57.2%
  • Corners6.16 corners/match
  • Corners allowed3.66 corners/match
  • Fouls11.5 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency29%
  • Scoring frequency82%

How competition percentiles work

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 17 Sept 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsFC Bayern MünchenChelsea
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this