Eredivisie · 2025Sat, 2 May 2026, 12:00 UTCFull timeYanmar StadionFull-time recap
30Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAlmere City FCFC Den Bosch
Shots16 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match4 shots/match
Possession48%52%
Corners6 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jack De Vries · FC Den Bosch · 17′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedTeun van Grunsven · FC Den Bosch · 35′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedKevin Felida · FC Den Bosch · 45′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedNiko Takahashi · Almere City FC · 50′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJack De Vries · FC Den Bosch · 52′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedHamza El Dahri · Almere City FC · 64′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJulian Rijkhoff · Almere City FC · 65′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJulian Rijkhoff · Almere City FC · 81′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJack De Vries · FC Den Bosch · 32′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJames Lawrence · Almere City FC · 62′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMarley Dors · Almere City FC · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKevin Felida · FC Den Bosch · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFerdy Druijf · Almere City FC · 76′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFerdy Druijf · Almere City FC · 34′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJack De Vries · FC Den Bosch · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedReda Akmum · FC Den Bosch · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFerdy Druijf · Almere City FC · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulian Rijkhoff · Almere City FC · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKévin Monzialo · FC Den Bosch · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEmanuel Poku · Almere City FC · 41′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIlias Boumassaoudi · FC Den Bosch · 79′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJamie Jacobs · Almere City FC · 48′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJulian Rijkhoff · Almere City FC · 75′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJack De Vries · FC Den Bosch · 47′ · 0.09 xG · on targetStan Maas · FC Den Bosch · 67′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMarley Dors · Almere City FC · 41′ · 0.10 xG · goalFerdy Druijf · Almere City FC · 82′ · 0.10 xG · goalJulian Rijkhoff · Almere City FC · 89′ · 0.10 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Almere City FC: 16 shots, 9 on target, 0.64 xG. FC Den Bosch: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Marley Dors · Almere City FC · 41′Ferdy Druijf · Almere City FC · 82′Julian Rijkhoff · Almere City FC · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Almere City FC 0.64 xG · FC Den Bosch 0.35 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Almere City FC, FC Den Bosch. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Almere City FC, FC Den Bosch.

2.8 daysRest daysAlmere City FC · FC Den Bosch2.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAlmere City FCFC Den BoschBaseline
Rest days2.8 days2.8 days
Matches last 14 days1 matches1 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Almere City FC
0Draws
0FC Den Bosch
FC Den BoschAlmere City FC · Eredivisie23

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Almere City FC favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · FC Den Bosch in 0 · 14 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/2
Goals allowedseason · 2/2
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
Shotsseason · 2/2
Shots allowedseason · 2/2
Shots on targetseason · 2/2
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/2
Possessionseason · 2/2
Cornersseason · 2/2
Corners allowedseason · 2/2
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/2
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/2
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/2

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Almere City FC
FC Den Bosch
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Almere City FC
FC Den Bosch
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Almere City FC
FC Den Bosch
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Almere City FC
FC Den Bosch
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Almere City FC
FC Den Bosch
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Almere City FC
FC Den Bosch
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Almere City FC
FC Den Bosch
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Window

Last 10

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Window

Season

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

1 / 1 matches
Goals scored1/1
Goals allowed1/1
Expected goals0/0
Shots1/1
Shots on target1/1
Possession1/1
Corners1/1
Cards0/0
Fouls1/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.8 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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