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Süper Lig · 2025Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu

Kocaelispor 1–0 Galatasaray · Süper Lig

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Kocaelispor won 1–0.

Shots
912
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.670.63
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Kocaelispor beat Galatasaray 1–0. Recorded in this match (Kocaelispor – Galatasaray): shots 9–12, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.67–0.63, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kocaelispor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Kocaelispor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Kocaelispor show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Kocaelispor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.75 shots/match ▲ShotsKocaelispor · Galatasaray17.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKocaelisporGalatasarayBaseline
Shots9.75 shots/match17.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match9.33 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Kocaelispor have a visible home split

moderate

Kocaelispor's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.75 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match9.75 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots12 shotsKocaelispor 9 shots, Galatasaray 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsKocaelispor 3 shots, Galatasaray 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.67 xG0.63 xGKocaelispor 0.67 xG, Galatasaray 0.63 xG
  • Possession34%66%Kocaelispor 34%, Galatasaray 66%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersKocaelispor 1 corner, Galatasaray 7 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls9 foulsKocaelispor 13 fouls, Galatasaray 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Leroy Sané · Galatasaray · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Agyei · Kocaelispor · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSerdar Dursun · Kocaelispor · 21′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Torreira · Galatasaray · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKarol Linetty · Kocaelispor · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Agyei · Kocaelispor · 45′ · 0.05 xG · goalDavinson Sánchez · Galatasaray · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Sara · Galatasaray · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 39′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAbdülkerim Bardakcı · Galatasaray · 70′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCan Keleş · Kocaelispor · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor · 3′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 49′ · 0.10 xG · on targetKarol Linetty · Kocaelispor · 14′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedBarış Alper Yılmaz · Galatasaray · 66′ · 0.14 xG · on targetTayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor · 14′ · 0.29 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Kocaelispor: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.70 xG. Galatasaray: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Daniel Agyei · Kocaelispor · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kocaelispor 0.70 xG · Galatasaray 0.63 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Kocaelispor favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Galatasaray in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Kocaelispor12 matchesGalatasaray12 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 2.08 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 0.5 goals/match
0.88 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 2.14 xG/match
9.75 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 17.6 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 6.25 shots/match
46.4%Possession12/12● 62.2%
4.17 corners/matchCorners12/12● 5.25 corners/match
15 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKocaelisporGalatasaray
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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