Süper Lig · 2025Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeGursel Aksel StadiumFull-time recap
12Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGöztepeTrabzonspor
Shots21 shots/match18 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals1.66 xG/match1.44 xG/match
Possession38%62%
Corners7 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls19 fouls/match7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Tim Jabol-Folcarelli · Trabzonspor · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMalcom Bokele · Göztepe · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMustafa Eskihellaç · Trabzonspor · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTaha Altıkardeş · Göztepe · 42′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNovatus Miroshi · Göztepe · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMustafa Eskihellaç · Trabzonspor · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHéliton · Göztepe · 66′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRhaldney · Göztepe · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmine Cherni · Göztepe · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 3′ · 0.03 xG · on targetErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Junior Dennis · Göztepe · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMustafa Eskihellaç · Trabzonspor · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 76′ · 0.03 xG · goalErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMustafa Eskihellaç · Trabzonspor · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSerdar Saatçı · Trabzonspor · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Junior Dennis · Göztepe · 85′ · 0.04 xG · goalJunior Olaitan · Göztepe · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 46′ · 0.05 xG · on targetOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJanderson · Göztepe · 73′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJanderson · Göztepe · 53′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJunior Olaitan · Göztepe · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJunior Olaitan · Göztepe · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 10′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHéliton · Göztepe · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKazeem Olaigbe · Trabzonspor · 66′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHéliton · Göztepe · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJunior Olaitan · Göztepe · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJunior Olaitan · Göztepe · 85′ · 0.16 xG · on targetArda Kurtulan · Göztepe · 90′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedJunior Olaitan · Göztepe · 67′ · 0.19 xG · on targetPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 59′ · 0.20 xG · on targetJunior Olaitan · Göztepe · 67′ · 0.20 xG · on targetJanderson · Göztepe · 67′ · 0.21 xG · on targetErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 46′ · 0.63 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Göztepe: 21 shots, 8 on target, 1.69 xG. Trabzonspor: 18 shots, 6 on target, 1.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Anthony Junior Dennis · Göztepe · 85′Ernest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 46′Ernest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Göztepe 1.69 xG · Trabzonspor 1.48 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Göztepe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Trabzonspor have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Göztepe show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Göztepe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/matchShotsGöztepe · Trabzonspor15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGöztepeTrabzonsporBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match15.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Trabzonspor have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.2%PossessionGöztepe · Trabzonspor52.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGöztepeTrabzonsporBaseline
Possession38.2%52.1%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Göztepe favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Trabzonspor in 5 · 3 too close

1.2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/151.8 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/150.87 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 15/151.52 xG/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 15/151.39 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/1515.3 shots/match
12.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/1515.2 shots/match
4.53 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/155.53 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/154 shots/match
38.2%Possessionseason · 15/1552.1%
4.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/154.07 corners/match
4.87 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/155.27 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
18 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1512 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
60%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1540%
73%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1587%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Göztepe2.8
Trabzonspor63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Göztepe62
Trabzonspor86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Göztepe75
Trabzonspor54.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Göztepe97.2
Trabzonspor86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Göztepe97.2
Trabzonspor25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 47%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Göztepe47.2
Trabzonspor22.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Göztepe69.4
Trabzonspor54.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.87 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots5/516.8 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/56.2 shots/match
42.6%Possession5/555.8%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
18.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/102.3 goals/match
0.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.82 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots10/1018 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target10/107.1 shots/match
37.3%Possession10/1053.7%
4.4 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
Cards0/0
17.9 fouls/matchFouls9/1012.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 15 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored15/151.8 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed15/150.87 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals15/151.52 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots15/1515.3 shots/match
4.53 shots/matchShots on target15/155.53 shots/match
38.2%Possession15/1552.1%
4.67 corners/matchCorners15/154.07 corners/match
Cards0/0
18 fouls/matchFouls14/1512 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.86 goals/match
0.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.29 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.21 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots7/713 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target7/75.43 shots/match
37.6%Possession7/750.3%
5.29 corners/matchCorners7/74.14 corners/match
Cards0/0
18.3 fouls/matchFouls7/711.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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