Süper Lig · 2025Eryaman Stadyumu

Gençlerbirliği 4–3 Trabzonspor · Süper Lig

4–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Gençlerbirliği won 4–3.

Shots
1814
Shots on target
97
Expected goals
2.432.78
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gençlerbirliği beat Trabzonspor 4–3. Recorded in this match (Gençlerbirliği – Trabzonspor): shots 18–14, shots on target 9–7, expected goals 2.43–2.78, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Trabzonspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Trabzonspor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match1.94 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Gençlerbirliği have a visible home split

moderate

Gençlerbirliği's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Trabzonspor show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Trabzonspor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsGençlerbirliği · Trabzonspor16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGençlerbirliğiTrabzonsporBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match16.3 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match15 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots14 shotsGençlerbirliği 18 shots, Trabzonspor 14 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots7 shotsGençlerbirliği 9 shots, Trabzonspor 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.43 xG2.78 xGGençlerbirliği 2.43 xG, Trabzonspor 2.78 xG
  • Possession37%63%Gençlerbirliği 37%, Trabzonspor 63%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersGençlerbirliği 6 corners, Trabzonspor 6 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls15 foulsGençlerbirliği 6 fouls, Trabzonspor 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sekou Koita · Gençlerbirliği · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTom Dele-Bashiru · Gençlerbirliği · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKazeem Olaigbe · Trabzonspor · 83′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSekou Koita · Gençlerbirliği · 19′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Bouchouari · Trabzonspor · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFranco Tongya · Gençlerbirliği · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThalisson Kelven · Gençlerbirliği · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOğulcan Ülgün · Gençlerbirliği · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDimitris Goutas · Gençlerbirliği · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMetehan Mimaroğlu · Gençlerbirliği · 82′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDanylo Sikan · Trabzonspor · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDimitris Goutas · Gençlerbirliği · 5′ · 0.07 xG · goalOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMetehan Mimaroğlu · Gençlerbirliği · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 50′ · 0.12 xG · goalGöktan Gürpüz · Gençlerbirliği · 61′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFranco Tongya · Gençlerbirliği · 65′ · 0.12 xG · on targetFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 84′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMetehan Mimaroğlu · Gençlerbirliği · 23′ · 0.14 xG · on targetGöktan Gürpüz · Gençlerbirliği · 35′ · 0.14 xG · on targetOğulcan Ülgün · Gençlerbirliği · 52′ · 0.15 xG · goalFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 45′ · 0.21 xG · goalDanylo Sikan · Trabzonspor · 29′ · 0.26 xG · on targetSekou Koita · Gençlerbirliği · 58′ · 0.38 xG · goalGöktan Gürpüz · Gençlerbirliği · 77′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blockedArseniy Batagov · Trabzonspor · 37′ · 0.48 xG · off target or blockedFranco Tongya · Gençlerbirliği · 31′ · 0.54 xG · goalErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 29′ · 0.70 xG · on targetErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 67′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Gençlerbirliği: 18 shots, 9 on target, 2.42 xG. Trabzonspor: 14 shots, 7 on target, 3.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Dimitris Goutas · Gençlerbirliği · 5′Franco Tongya · Gençlerbirliği · 31′Oğulcan Ülgün · Gençlerbirliği · 52′Sekou Koita · Gençlerbirliği · 58′Felipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 45′Felipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 50′Ernest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Gençlerbirliği 2.42 xG · Trabzonspor 3.04 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gençlerbirliği favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Trabzonspor in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gençlerbirliği17 matchesTrabzonspor17 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.94 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.18 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.59 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 16.3 shots/match
3.59 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 6.06 shots/match
40.4%Possession17/17● 54.1%
4.06 corners/matchCorners17/17● 4.35 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 22 Dec 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

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