PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Gaziantep Stadium

Gaziantep FK 2–1 Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Gaziantep FK won 2–1.

Shots
49
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
0.840.56
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gaziantep FK beat Kasımpaşa 2–1. Recorded in this match (Gaziantep FK – Kasımpaşa): shots 4–9, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 0.84–0.56, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kasımpaşa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Kasımpaşa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.76 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Kasımpaşa have a visible away split

moderate

Kasımpaşa's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.27 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.27 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots9 shotsGaziantep FK 4 shots, Kasımpaşa 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotGaziantep FK 2 shots, Kasımpaşa 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.84 xG0.56 xGGaziantep FK 0.84 xG, Kasımpaşa 0.56 xG
  • Possession46%54%Gaziantep FK 46%, Kasımpaşa 54%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersGaziantep FK 1 corner, Kasımpaşa 7 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls21 foulsGaziantep FK 15 fouls, Kasımpaşa 21 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep FK · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKerem Demirbay · Kasımpaşa · 50′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCenk Tosun · Kasımpaşa · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJim Allevinah · Kasımpaşa · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Lungoyi · Gaziantep FK · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedİrfan Can Kahveci · Kasımpaşa · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCafú · Kasımpaşa · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndri Baldursson · Kasımpaşa · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedİrfan Can Kahveci · Kasımpaşa · 76′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Becão · Kasımpaşa · 6′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Benedyczak · Kasımpaşa · 16′ · 0.28 xG · goalKacper Kozłowski · Gaziantep FK · 24′ · 0.28 xG · goalMohamed Bayo · Gaziantep FK · 36′ · 0.57 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Gaziantep FK: 4 shots, 2 on target, 0.88 xG. Kasımpaşa: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Kacper Kozłowski · Gaziantep FK · 24′Mohamed Bayo · Gaziantep FK · 36′Adrian Benedyczak · Kasımpaşa · 16′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Gaziantep FK 0.88 xG · Kasımpaşa 0.58 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Gaziantep FK
2Draws
1Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa — Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig2–3
Gaziantep FK — Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig2–2
Kasımpaşa — Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig2–2
Gaziantep FK — Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig2–0
Kasımpaşa — Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gaziantep FK favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Kasımpaşa in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gaziantep FK21 matchesKasımpaşa21 matches
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/210.76 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/210.83 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots21/2110.4 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/212.52 shots/match
51.7% ●Possession21/2145.8%
4.9 corners/matchCorners21/21● 5.1 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls21/2115.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 9 Feb 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGaziantep FKKasımpaşa
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
Head-to-headGaziantep FK — Kasımpaşa
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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