Süper Lig · 2025Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeMedas Konya Büyüksehir Belediyesi StadiumFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricKonyasporGalatasaray
Shots9 shots/match6 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.8 xG/match0.52 xG/match
Possession39%61%
Corners3 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMelih İbrahimoğlu · Konyaspor · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYunus Akgün · Galatasaray · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedUğurcan Yazğılı · Konyaspor · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYhoan Andzouana · Konyaspor · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Sara · Galatasaray · 74′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLeroy Sané · Galatasaray · 18′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRoland Sallai · Galatasaray · 36′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Türüç · Konyaspor · 56′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMorten Bjørlo · Konyaspor · 65′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 29′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSacha Boey · Galatasaray · 49′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 61′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedBlaž Kramer · Konyaspor · 81′ · 0.38 xG · goalAdil Demirbağ · Konyaspor · 75′ · 0.72 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Konyaspor: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.73 xG. Galatasaray: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Adil Demirbağ · Konyaspor · 75′Blaž Kramer · Konyaspor · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Konyaspor 1.73 xG · Galatasaray 0.53 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Konyaspor's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Galatasaray's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Konyaspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Konyaspor's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.8 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Galatasaray have a visible away split

moderate

Galatasaray's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.2 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season17.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match17.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Galatasaray show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Galatasaray's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/matchShotsKonyaspor · Galatasaray17.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKonyasporGalatasarayBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match17.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match9.74 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Konyaspor
0Draws
1Galatasaray
GalatasarayKonyaspor · Süper Lig31

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Konyaspor favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Galatasaray in 11 · 3 too close

1.17 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 23/232.39 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/230.74 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 23/232.05 xG/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 23/230.99 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/2317.2 shots/match
12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 23/239.74 shots/match
4.04 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 23/235.96 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 23/233.17 shots/match
53.4%Possessionseason · 23/2362.5%
5.13 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/235.43 corners/match
4.61 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/233.61 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2312.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/2339%
78%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2387%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Konyaspor69.4
Galatasaray97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Konyaspor58.3
Galatasaray91.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Konyaspor45.4
Galatasaray91.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Konyaspor52.8
Galatasaray75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Konyaspor8.3
Galatasaray19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Konyaspor72.2
Galatasaray86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Konyaspor52.1
Galatasaray70.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/53 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.98 xG/match
9.8 shots/matchShots5/516 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/55.8 shots/match
52%Possession5/562.8%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/56.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
15.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/102.7 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.9 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.71 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots10/1015.6 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/105.3 shots/match
53%Possession10/1061.8%
3.5 corners/matchCorners10/105.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

23 / 23 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored23/232.39 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed23/230.74 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals23/232.05 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots23/2317.2 shots/match
4.04 shots/matchShots on target23/235.96 shots/match
53.4%Possession23/2362.5%
5.13 corners/matchCorners23/235.43 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls23/2312.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 11 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored12/112.09 goals/match
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed12/110.64 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals12/111.76 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots12/1113.2 shots/match
3.92 shots/matchShots on target12/114.73 shots/match
56%Possession12/1159.7%
5.67 corners/matchCorners12/113.91 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1112.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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