Süper Lig · 2025Wed, 8 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeGursel Aksel StadiumFull-time recap
13Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGöztepeGalatasaray
Shots17 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.97 xG/match1.06 xG/match
Possession32%68%
Corners4 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Roland Sallai · Galatasaray · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAmine Cherni · Göztepe · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHéliton · Göztepe · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNovatus Miroshi · Göztepe · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJanderson · Göztepe · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHéliton · Göztepe · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEfkan Bekiroğlu · Göztepe · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEfkan Bekiroğlu · Göztepe · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHéliton · Göztepe · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJuan · Göztepe · 74′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJeh · Göztepe · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRoland Sallai · Galatasaray · 40′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMario Lemina · Galatasaray · 75′ · 0.05 xG · goalAmine Cherni · Göztepe · 56′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJuan · Göztepe · 81′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFilip Krastev · Göztepe · 83′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAllan · Galatasaray · 19′ · 0.10 xG · goalJanderson · Göztepe · 77′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBarış Alper Yılmaz · Galatasaray · 5′ · 0.17 xG · goalRoland Sallai · Galatasaray · 10′ · 0.18 xG · on targetJuan · Göztepe · 50′ · 0.19 xG · goalRoland Sallai · Galatasaray · 31′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedArda Kurtulan · Göztepe · 19′ · 0.28 xG · on targetYáser Asprilla · Galatasaray · 10′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedJanderson · Göztepe · 59′ · 1.00 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Göztepe: 17 shots, 6 on target, 2.04 xG. Galatasaray: 8 shots, 5 on target, 1.17 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Juan · Göztepe · 50′Barış Alper Yılmaz · Galatasaray · 5′Allan · Galatasaray · 19′Mario Lemina · Galatasaray · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Göztepe 2.04 xG · Galatasaray 1.17 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Galatasaray. A second useful context is: Galatasaray have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Galatasaray.

4.23 daysRest daysGöztepe · Galatasaray4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricGöztepeGalatasarayBaseline
Rest days4.23 days4 days
Matches last 14 days1 matches1 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Galatasaray have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.3%PossessionGöztepe · Galatasaray62%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGöztepeGalatasarayBaseline
Possession38.3%62%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Galatasaray have a visible away split

moderate

Galatasaray's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.1 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match16.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Göztepe
0Draws
1Galatasaray
GalatasarayGöztepe · Süper Lig31

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Göztepe favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Galatasaray in 8 · 5 too close

1.18 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 28/282.36 goals/match
0.82 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 28/280.75 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 28/282.01 xG/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 28/281 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 28/2816.6 shots/match
12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 28/2810.5 shots/match
4.46 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 28/285.71 shots/match
3.46 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 28/283.5 shots/match
38.3%Possessionseason · 28/2862%
4.64 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/285.5 corners/match
5.04 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 28/283.61 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
17.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/2812.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
54%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/2839%
71%Scoring frequencyseason · 28/2889%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Göztepe2.8
Galatasaray97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Göztepe63.9
Galatasaray91.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Göztepe78.7
Galatasaray88
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Göztepe97.2
Galatasaray75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Göztepe97.2
Galatasaray30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 48%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Göztepe44.4
Galatasaray86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Göztepe70.8
Galatasaray73.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
2.07 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.81 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShots5/514.2 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
39%Possession5/559.8%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
15.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/102.6 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.8 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.89 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots10/1015.1 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/105.2 shots/match
38.9%Possession10/1061.3%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/106 corners/match
Cards0/0
16.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1013 fouls/match

Window

Season

28 / 28 matches
1.18 goals/matchGoals scored28/282.36 goals/match
0.82 goals/matchGoals allowed28/280.75 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals28/282.01 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots28/2816.6 shots/match
4.46 shots/matchShots on target28/285.71 shots/match
38.3%Possession28/2862%
4.64 corners/matchCorners28/285.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
17.3 fouls/matchFouls27/2812.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 14 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored14/142 goals/match
0.71 goals/matchGoals allowed14/140.71 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals14/141.68 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots14/1413.1 shots/match
4.43 shots/matchShots on target14/144.5 shots/match
38.9%Possession14/1459.2%
5 corners/matchCorners14/144.21 corners/match
Cards0/0
17.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.23 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 8 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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