Süper Lig · 2025Fri, 17 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeAntalya StadiumFull-time recap
02Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAntalyasporKonyaspor
Shots13 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.01 xG/match1.81 xG/match
Possession55%45%
Corners10 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match21 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Dario Šarić · Antalyaspor · 41′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 76′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMelih İbrahimoğlu · Konyaspor · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSoner Dikmen · Antalyaspor · 28′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVeysel Sarı · Antalyaspor · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSoner Dikmen · Antalyaspor · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSander van de Streek · Antalyaspor · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Storm · Antalyaspor · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDario Šarić · Antalyaspor · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNikola Storm · Antalyaspor · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBlaž Kramer · Konyaspor · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKazeem Olaigbe · Konyaspor · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Türüç · Konyaspor · 65′ · 0.06 xG · on targetYohan Boli · Antalyaspor · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYohan Boli · Antalyaspor · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Ballet · Antalyaspor · 24′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMelih İbrahimoğlu · Konyaspor · 90′ · 0.15 xG · goalSoner Dikmen · Antalyaspor · 50′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedUğurcan Yazğılı · Konyaspor · 90′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedDoğukan Sinik · Antalyaspor · 37′ · 0.38 xG · on targetBlaž Kramer · Konyaspor · 2′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Gonçalves · Konyaspor · 57′ · 0.61 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Antalyaspor: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.02 xG. Konyaspor: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.76 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Diogo Gonçalves · Konyaspor · 57′Melih İbrahimoğlu · Konyaspor · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Antalyaspor 1.02 xG · Konyaspor 1.76 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Konyaspor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Antalyaspor's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Konyaspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Konyaspor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Antalyaspor have a visible home split

moderate

Antalyaspor's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.3 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season9.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match9.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Antalyaspor show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Antalyaspor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.3 shots/matchShotsAntalyaspor · Konyaspor13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAntalyasporKonyasporBaseline
Shots9.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against14.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Antalyaspor
1Draws
0Konyaspor
KonyasporAntalyaspor · Süper Lig00

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Antalyaspor favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Konyaspor in 10 · 4 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 30/301.27 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 30/301.37 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 30/301.33 xG/match
1.6 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 30/301.37 xG/match
9.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 30/3013.2 shots/match
14.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 30/3012.2 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 30/304.17 shots/match
5.1 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 30/303.9 shots/match
44.3%Possessionseason · 30/3052.6%
4.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/304.97 corners/match
5.77 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 30/304.9 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/3012.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/3023%
63%Scoring frequencyseason · 30/3080%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Antalyaspor13.9
Konyaspor63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Antalyaspor23.2
Konyaspor60.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Antalyaspor23.1
Konyaspor54.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Antalyaspor2.8
Konyaspor52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Antalyaspor36.1
Konyaspor25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Antalyaspor36.1
Konyaspor69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Antalyaspor26.4
Konyaspor54.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.6 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.78 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots5/512.2 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/55.2 shots/match
47.6%Possession5/548.2%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
Cards0/0
15.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.8 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.55 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots10/1011.2 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on target10/104 shots/match
46.7%Possession10/1051.3%
4.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

30 / 30 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored30/301.27 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed30/301.37 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals30/301.33 xG/match
9.3 shots/matchShots30/3013.2 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target30/304.17 shots/match
44.3%Possession30/3052.6%
4.33 corners/matchCorners30/304.97 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.6 fouls/matchFouls30/3012.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored15/151.27 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed15/151.73 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals15/151.21 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots15/1512.3 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target15/154.07 shots/match
44.9%Possession15/1549.5%
5.27 corners/matchCorners15/154.47 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.4 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.23 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 17 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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