PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Eryaman Stadyumu

Gençlerbirliği 1–0 Kocaelispor · Süper Lig

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Gençlerbirliği won 1–0.

Shots
87
Shots on target
20
Expected goals
10.66
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gençlerbirliği beat Kocaelispor 1–0. Recorded in this match (Gençlerbirliği – Kocaelispor): shots 8–7, shots on target 2–0, expected goals 1–0.66, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gençlerbirliği's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gençlerbirliği's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.97 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.97 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Kocaelispor have a visible away split

moderate

Kocaelispor's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.53 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.53 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Gençlerbirliği show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Gençlerbirliği's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsGençlerbirliği · Kocaelispor10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGençlerbirliğiKocaelisporBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots7 shotsGençlerbirliği 8 shots, Kocaelispor 7 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots0 shotsGençlerbirliği 2 shots, Kocaelispor 0 shots
  • Expected goals1 xG0.66 xGGençlerbirliği 1 xG, Kocaelispor 0.66 xG
  • Possession36%64%Gençlerbirliği 36%, Kocaelispor 64%
  • Corners1 corner2 cornersGençlerbirliği 1 corner, Kocaelispor 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsGençlerbirliği 14 fouls, Kocaelispor 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Adama Malouda Traoré · Gençlerbirliği · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSamed Onur · Gençlerbirliği · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSekou Koita · Gençlerbirliği · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHabib Keita · Kocaelispor · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSekou Koita · Gençlerbirliği · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamed Onur · Gençlerbirliği · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMassadio Haïdara · Kocaelispor · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdama Malouda Traoré · Gençlerbirliği · 55′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFurkan Gedik · Kocaelispor · 82′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMassadio Haïdara · Kocaelispor · 26′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFranco Tongya · Gençlerbirliği · 61′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHrvoje Smolčić · Kocaelispor · 38′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRigoberto Rivas · Kocaelispor · 25′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSerdar Dursun · Kocaelispor · 79′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedMetehan Mimaroğlu · Gençlerbirliği · 34′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Gençlerbirliği: 8 shots, 2 on target, 1.04 xG. Kocaelispor: 7 shots, 0 on target, 0.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Metehan Mimaroğlu · Gençlerbirliği · 34′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Gençlerbirliği 1.04 xG · Kocaelispor 0.65 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Gençlerbirliği
0Draws
1Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor — Gençlerbirliği · Süper Lig1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gençlerbirliği favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Kocaelispor in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gençlerbirliği31 matchesKocaelispor31 matches
0.97 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/310.81 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 1.13 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals31/310.94 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots31/3110.4 shots/match
3.19 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/313.03 shots/match
42.2%Possession31/31● 49.3%
3.87 corners/matchCorners31/31● 4.19 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls31/3114.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGençlerbirliğiKocaelispor
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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