Süper Lig · 2025Mon, 27 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeMedas Konya Büyüksehir Belediyesi StadiumFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricKonyasporTrabzonspor
Shots12 shots/match23 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.18 xG/match2.11 xG/match
Possession36%64%
Corners7 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match4 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Kazeem Olaigbe · Konyaspor · 39′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKazeem Olaigbe · Konyaspor · 32′ · 0.02 xG · on targetChibuike Nwaiwu · Trabzonspor · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTim Jabol-Folcarelli · Trabzonspor · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMelih İbrahimoğlu · Konyaspor · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Gonçalves · Konyaspor · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 80′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKazeem Olaigbe · Konyaspor · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarko Jevtović · Konyaspor · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Bouchouari · Trabzonspor · 61′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBerkan Kutlu · Konyaspor · 21′ · 0.06 xG · on targetUmut Nayir · Trabzonspor · 87′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 27′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBerkan Kutlu · Konyaspor · 39′ · 0.07 xG · goalPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 6′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTim Jabol-Folcarelli · Trabzonspor · 59′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedUmut Nayir · Trabzonspor · 88′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Bouchouari · Trabzonspor · 51′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 15′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Nwakaeme · Trabzonspor · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 66′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedChibuike Nwaiwu · Trabzonspor · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarko Jevtović · Konyaspor · 11′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 11′ · 0.22 xG · on targetFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 79′ · 0.34 xG · goalUmut Nayir · Trabzonspor · 80′ · 0.43 xG · off target or blockedBerkan Kutlu · Konyaspor · 32′ · 0.60 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Konyaspor: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.27 xG. Trabzonspor: 23 shots, 3 on target, 2.16 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Berkan Kutlu · Konyaspor · 32′Berkan Kutlu · Konyaspor · 39′Felipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Konyaspor 1.27 xG · Trabzonspor 2.16 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Konyaspor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Konyaspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Konyaspor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Konyaspor
0Draws
1Trabzonspor
TrabzonsporKonyaspor · Süper Lig31

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Konyaspor favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Trabzonspor in 8 · 4 too close

1.29 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/311.87 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/311.1 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 31/311.55 xG/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 31/311.24 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/3115.4 shots/match
12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/3113.4 shots/match
4.23 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/315.26 shots/match
3.87 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/313.87 shots/match
52.1%Possessionseason · 31/3155%
5.03 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/314.68 corners/match
4.9 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/315.29 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3111.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/3129%
81%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3194%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Konyaspor63.9
Trabzonspor75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Konyaspor60.2
Trabzonspor82.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Konyaspor51.8
Trabzonspor59.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Konyaspor47.2
Trabzonspor80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Konyaspor25
Trabzonspor2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Konyaspor63.9
Trabzonspor47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Konyaspor52.8
Trabzonspor52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.61 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.47 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots5/514.8 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target5/53 shots/match
43.8%Possession5/552.4%
4 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.7 goals/match
0.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
1.58 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.51 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots10/1014.5 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target10/104.1 shots/match
48.5%Possession10/1055.3%
4.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

31 / 31 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored31/311.87 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed31/311.1 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals31/311.55 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots31/3115.4 shots/match
4.23 shots/matchShots on target31/315.26 shots/match
52.1%Possession31/3155%
5.03 corners/matchCorners31/314.68 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFouls31/3111.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.88 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.25 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals16/161.59 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots16/1614.2 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target16/164.94 shots/match
54.6%Possession16/1654.8%
5.56 corners/matchCorners16/164.69 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.9 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

10 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 27 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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