Championship · 2025bet365 Stadium

Stoke City 3–1 Derby County · Championship

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stoke City won 3–1.

Shots
123
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.090.39
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stoke City beat Derby County 3–1. Recorded in this match (Stoke City – Derby County): shots 12–3, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.09–0.39, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots3 shotsStoke City 12 shots, Derby County 3 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsStoke City 7 shots, Derby County 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.09 xG0.39 xGStoke City 1.09 xG, Derby County 0.39 xG
  • Possession68%32%Stoke City 68%, Derby County 32%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersStoke City 7 corners, Derby County 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsStoke City 12 fouls, Derby County 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Aaron Cresswell · Stoke City · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMillion Manhoef · Stoke City · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDivin Mubama · Stoke City · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMillion Manhoef · Stoke City · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKayden Jackson · Derby County · 48′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLewis Baker · Stoke City · 70′ · 0.03 xG · goalJunior Tchamadeu · Stoke City · 87′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBosun Lawal · Stoke City · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSorba Thomas · Stoke City · 5′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSorba Thomas · Stoke City · 64′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Weimann · Derby County · 85′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJun-Ho Bae · Stoke City · 3′ · 0.13 xG · on targetCarlton Morris · Derby County · 60′ · 0.23 xG · goalSorba Thomas · Stoke City · 90′ · 0.30 xG · goalDivin Mubama · Stoke City · 90′ · 0.30 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stoke City: 12 shots, 7 on target, 1.08 xG. Derby County: 3 shots, 2 on target, 0.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Lewis Baker · Stoke City · 70′Sorba Thomas · Stoke City · 90′Divin Mubama · Stoke City · 90′Carlton Morris · Derby County · 60′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stoke City 1.08 xG · Derby County 0.37 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Stoke City
1Draws
2Derby County
Derby County — Stoke City · Championship0–0
Stoke City — Derby County · Championship2–1
Stoke City — Derby County · Championship1–2
Derby County — Stoke City · Championship2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Aug 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.