Championship · 2025Sat, 9 Aug 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timebet365 StadiumFull-time recap

Stoke City

3–1Full-time recap

Derby County

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Stoke City	Derby County
Shots	12 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.09 xG/match▲	0.39 xG/match
Possession	68%●	32%
Corners	7 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Stoke City: 12 shots, 7 on target, 1.08 xG. Derby County: 3 shots, 2 on target, 0.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stoke City 1.08 xG · Derby County 0.37 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Stoke City

1Draws

2Derby County

3 May 2025Derby County — Stoke City · Championship0–0

2 Nov 2024Stoke City — Derby County · Championship2–1

30 Dec 2021Stoke City — Derby County · Championship1–2

18 Sept 2021Derby County — Stoke City · Championship2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable

Season samples1 / 1home / away teams

Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Aug 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4