Championship · 2025Sat, 9 Aug 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeKassam StadiumFull-time recap
01Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOxford UnitedPortsmouth
Shots18 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.37 xG/match1.21 xG/match
Possession49%51%
Corners8 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Tyler Goodrham · Oxford United · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedStanley Mills · Oxford United · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 44′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMichał Helik · Oxford United · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCameron Brannagan · Oxford United · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedStanley Mills · Oxford United · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGatlin O'Donkor · Oxford United · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWill Vaulks · Oxford United · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTyler Goodrham · Oxford United · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndre Dozzell · Portsmouth · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCameron Brannagan · Oxford United · 33′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCameron Brannagan · Oxford United · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMark Harris · Oxford United · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYang Min-hyeok · Portsmouth · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMichał Helik · Oxford United · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMichał Helik · Oxford United · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJack Currie · Oxford United · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetWill Lankshear · Oxford United · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLouie Sibley · Oxford United · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 38′ · 0.12 xG · goalConnor Ogilvie · Portsmouth · 72′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Bianchini · Portsmouth · 21′ · 0.18 xG · on targetFlorian Bianchini · Portsmouth · 2′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedElliott Moore · Oxford United · 25′ · 0.26 xG · on targetColby Bishop · Portsmouth · 38′ · 0.44 xG · on targetElliott Moore · Oxford United · 25′ · 0.57 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Oxford United: 18 shots, 4 on target, 1.48 xG. Portsmouth: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Adrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 38′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Oxford United 1.48 xG · Portsmouth 1.29 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Aug 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4