Championship · 2025Sat, 16 Aug 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeHillsborough StadiumFull-time recap
03Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield WednesdayStoke City
Shots15 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals1.5 xG/match2.06 xG/match
Possession54%46%
Corners6 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Yan Valery · Sheffield Wednesday · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEric Bocat · Stoke City · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJun-Ho Bae · Stoke City · 25′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLewis Baker · Stoke City · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBarry Bannan · Sheffield Wednesday · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIke Ugbo · Sheffield Wednesday · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBailey Cadamarteri · Sheffield Wednesday · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBosun Lawal · Stoke City · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMillion Manhoef · Stoke City · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYan Valery · Sheffield Wednesday · 6′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYan Valery · Sheffield Wednesday · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCharlie McNeill · Sheffield Wednesday · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMillion Manhoef · Stoke City · 1′ · 0.07 xG · goalYan Valery · Sheffield Wednesday · 48′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJamie Donley · Stoke City · 83′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBailey Cadamarteri · Sheffield Wednesday · 19′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBailey Cadamarteri · Sheffield Wednesday · 73′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSorba Thomas · Stoke City · 46′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSean Fusire · Sheffield Wednesday · 45′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedBarry Bannan · Sheffield Wednesday · 63′ · 0.17 xG · on targetDivin Mubama · Stoke City · 62′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedBailey Cadamarteri · Sheffield Wednesday · 76′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedSvante Ingelsson · Sheffield Wednesday · 59′ · 0.23 xG · on targetDivin Mubama · Stoke City · 30′ · 0.32 xG · on targetLiam Palmer · Sheffield Wednesday · 59′ · 0.35 xG · on targetMillion Manhoef · Stoke City · 69′ · 0.36 xG · goalDivin Mubama · Stoke City · 46′ · 0.77 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield Wednesday: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.60 xG. Stoke City: 12 shots, 6 on target, 2.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Million Manhoef · Stoke City · 1′Divin Mubama · Stoke City · 46′Million Manhoef · Stoke City · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield Wednesday 1.60 xG · Stoke City 2.02 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Sheffield Wednesday
1Draws
1Stoke City
Stoke CitySheffield Wednesday · Championship20
Sheffield WednesdayStoke City · Championship20
Sheffield WednesdayStoke City · Championship11
Stoke CitySheffield Wednesday · Championship01

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sheffield Wednesday favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Stoke City in 0 · 13 too close

Goals scoredseason · 2/2
Goals allowedseason · 2/2
Expected goalsseason · 2/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2
Shotsseason · 2/2
Shots allowedseason · 2/2
Shots on targetseason · 2/2
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/2
Possessionseason · 2/2
Cornersseason · 2/2
Corners allowedseason · 2/2
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/2
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 2/2
Scoring frequencyseason · 2/2

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield Wednesday
Stoke City
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield Wednesday
Stoke City
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield Wednesday
Stoke City
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield Wednesday
Stoke City
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield Wednesday
Stoke City
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield Wednesday
Stoke City
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield Wednesday
Stoke City
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sheffield Wednesday2 matchesStoke City2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sheffield Wednesday1 matchesStoke City1 matches
Goals scored1/1
Goals allowed1/1
Expected goals1/1
Shots1/1
Shots on target1/1
Possession1/1
Corners1/1
Cards0/0
Fouls1/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.94 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Aug 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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