Championship · 2025bet365 Stadium

Stoke City 1–2 Hull City · Championship

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Hull City won 1–2.

Shots
1211
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
0.81.18
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hull City beat Stoke City 2–1. Recorded in this match (Stoke City – Hull City): shots 12–11, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 0.8–1.18, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Stoke City, Hull City.

3.7 days ▲Rest daysStoke City · Hull City3.7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricStoke CityHull CityBaseline
Rest days3.7 days3.7 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Stoke City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Stoke City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsStoke City · Hull City11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStoke CityHull CityBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against11.4 shots/match16.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots11 shotsStoke City 12 shots, Hull City 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsStoke City 7 shots, Hull City 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.8 xG1.18 xGStoke City 0.8 xG, Hull City 1.18 xG
  • Possession56%44%Stoke City 56%, Hull City 44%
  • Corners7 corners8 cornersStoke City 7 corners, Hull City 8 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsStoke City 12 fouls, Hull City 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mohamed Belloumi · Hull City · 88′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMillion Manhoef · Stoke City · 6′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSorba Thomas · Stoke City · 13′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBosun Lawal · Stoke City · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 64′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJun-Ho Bae · Stoke City · 24′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRegan Slater · Hull City · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSorba Thomas · Stoke City · 17′ · 0.04 xG · goalRóbert Boženík · Stoke City · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRyan Giles · Hull City · 48′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMillion Manhoef · Stoke City · 34′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJohn Egan · Hull City · 42′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSemi Ajayi · Hull City · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMillion Manhoef · Stoke City · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRóbert Boženík · Stoke City · 13′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJohn Lundstram · Hull City · 84′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTatsuki Seko · Stoke City · 77′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRóbert Boženík · Stoke City · 33′ · 0.15 xG · on targetJun-Ho Bae · Stoke City · 73′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedSemi Ajayi · Hull City · 48′ · 0.42 xG · goalJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 90′ · 0.43 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stoke City: 12 shots, 7 on target, 0.79 xG. Hull City: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.20 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Sorba Thomas · Stoke City · 17′Semi Ajayi · Hull City · 48′Joe Gelhardt · Hull City · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stoke City 0.79 xG · Hull City 1.20 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Stoke City
1Draws
2Hull City
Hull City — Stoke City · Championship1–2
Stoke City — Hull City · Championship1–3
Hull City — Stoke City · Championship0–2
Stoke City — Hull City · Championship1–3
Stoke City — Hull City · Championship0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stoke City favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Hull City in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stoke City18 matchesHull City18 matches
1.44 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 1.67 goals/match
0.78 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.67 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 1.32 xG/match
12.6 shots/match ▲Shots17/1711.5 shots/match
4.59 shots/matchShots on target17/174.41 shots/match
53.1% ●Possession17/1747.2%
6.06 corners/match ●Corners17/174.71 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls16/1711 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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