Championship · 2025Tue, 2 Dec 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeEwood ParkFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBlackburn RoversIpswich Town
Shots14 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.4 xG/match0.51 xG/match
Possession45%55%
Corners9 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Ryan Hedges · Blackburn Rovers · 5′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSean McLoughlin · Blackburn Rovers · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Gardner-Hickman · Blackburn Rovers · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeif Davis · Ipswich Town · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSean McLoughlin · Blackburn Rovers · 62′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCédric Kipré · Ipswich Town · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJack Clarke · Ipswich Town · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcelino Núñez · Ipswich Town · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Pratt · Blackburn Rovers · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIvan Azón · Ipswich Town · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRyan Alebiosu · Blackburn Rovers · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCédric Kipré · Ipswich Town · 59′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJens Cajuste · Ipswich Town · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarcelino Núñez · Ipswich Town · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich Town · 90′ · 0.05 xG · goalTaylor Gardner-Hickman · Blackburn Rovers · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIvan Azón · Ipswich Town · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIvan Azón · Ipswich Town · 44′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn Rovers · 43′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Gardner-Hickman · Blackburn Rovers · 13′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 31′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAndri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn Rovers · 10′ · 0.20 xG · on targetAndri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn Rovers · 76′ · 0.61 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Blackburn Rovers: 14 shots, 3 on target, 1.38 xG. Ipswich Town: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Andri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn Rovers · 76′Sindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich Town · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Blackburn Rovers 1.38 xG · Ipswich Town 0.51 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Blackburn Rovers, Ipswich Town. A second useful context is: Blackburn Rovers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Blackburn Rovers, Ipswich Town.

3.2 daysRest daysBlackburn Rovers · Ipswich Town3.99 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBlackburn RoversIpswich TownBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3.99 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Blackburn Rovers show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Blackburn Rovers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/matchShotsBlackburn Rovers · Ipswich Town15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBlackburn RoversIpswich TownBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match9.76 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Blackburn Rovers favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Ipswich Town in 10 · 4 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 18/181.67 goals/match
1.28 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 18/181.06 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 18/181.71 xG/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 18/180.93 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 17/1715.2 shots/match
11.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 17/179.76 shots/match
3.65 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 17/174.94 shots/match
3.47 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/173 shots/match
49.1%Possessionseason · 17/1756.9%
5.88 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/174.94 corners/match
4.41 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 17/174.18 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1710.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/1822%
72%Scoring frequencyseason · 18/1883%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Blackburn Rovers47.9
Ipswich Town95.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Blackburn Rovers28.5
Ipswich Town91.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Blackburn Rovers66.7
Ipswich Town90.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Blackburn Rovers56.2
Ipswich Town68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Blackburn Rovers77.1
Ipswich Town43.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 47%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Blackburn Rovers89.6
Ipswich Town37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Blackburn Rovers59.4
Ipswich Town66.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.52 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots5/515 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/55.4 shots/match
50.6%Possession5/557.6%
8.4 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.5 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.66 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots9/915 shots/match
3.89 shots/matchShots on target9/95.22 shots/match
48.9%Possession9/957.1%
6.89 corners/matchCorners9/94.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFouls9/99.67 fouls/match

Window

Season

18 / 18 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored18/181.67 goals/match
1.28 goals/matchGoals allowed18/181.06 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals18/181.71 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots17/1715.2 shots/match
3.65 shots/matchShots on target17/174.94 shots/match
49.1%Possession17/1756.9%
5.88 corners/matchCorners17/174.94 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 9 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.67 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.11 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.44 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots8/913.6 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target8/94.11 shots/match
50.1%Possession8/958.2%
6.75 corners/matchCorners8/95.22 corners/match
Cards0/0
11 fouls/matchFouls8/911.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.99 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 2 Dec 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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