Championship · 2025Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timePortman Road StadiumFull-time recap
31Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricIpswich TownSheffield Wednesday
Shots20 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals2.92 xG/match0.8 xG/match
Possession63%37%
Corners5 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Cédric Kipré · Ipswich Town · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBailey Cadamarteri · Sheffield Wednesday · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDominic Iorfa · Sheffield Wednesday · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCharlie McNeill · Sheffield Wednesday · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIvan Azón · Ipswich Town · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLiam Palmer · Sheffield Wednesday · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarry Amass · Sheffield Wednesday · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDara O'Shea · Ipswich Town · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIvan Azón · Ipswich Town · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSvante Ingelsson · Sheffield Wednesday · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLiam Cooper · Sheffield Wednesday · 71′ · 0.05 xG · goalIvan Azón · Ipswich Town · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSvante Ingelsson · Sheffield Wednesday · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIvan Azón · Ipswich Town · 22′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDara O'Shea · Ipswich Town · 3′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarcelino Núñez · Ipswich Town · 28′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKasey McAteer · Ipswich Town · 89′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 32′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Hirst · Ipswich Town · 5′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedBailey Cadamarteri · Sheffield Wednesday · 75′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 70′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedBailey Cadamarteri · Sheffield Wednesday · 69′ · 0.16 xG · on targetSindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich Town · 67′ · 0.17 xG · on targetKasey McAteer · Ipswich Town · 90′ · 0.17 xG · on targetCédric Kipré · Ipswich Town · 33′ · 0.18 xG · goalDarnell Furlong · Ipswich Town · 68′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedIvan Azón · Ipswich Town · 90′ · 0.20 xG · on targetJamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 16′ · 0.26 xG · on targetJens Cajuste · Ipswich Town · 28′ · 0.30 xG · on targetJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 60′ · 0.40 xG · goalJack Clarke · Ipswich Town · 87′ · 0.52 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Ipswich Town: 20 shots, 8 on target, 2.95 xG. Sheffield Wednesday: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.83 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Cédric Kipré · Ipswich Town · 33′Jaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 60′Jack Clarke · Ipswich Town · 87′Liam Cooper · Sheffield Wednesday · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Ipswich Town 2.95 xG · Sheffield Wednesday 0.83 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ipswich Town. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Ipswich Town show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.1 shots/matchShotsIpswich Town · Sheffield Wednesday10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIpswich TownSheffield WednesdayBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against9.76 shots/match15.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ipswich Town.

7 daysRest daysIpswich Town · Sheffield Wednesday4.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricIpswich TownSheffield WednesdayBaseline
Rest days7 days4.79 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Sheffield Wednesday's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sheffield Wednesday's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.2 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.2 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Ipswich Town favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Sheffield Wednesday in 0 · 3 too close

1.73 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 22/210.76 goals/match
1.05 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 22/212.05 goals/match
1.7 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 22/211.02 xG/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 22/211.9 xG/match
15.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 21/2010.3 shots/match
9.76 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 21/2015.9 shots/match
5.05 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 21/203.25 shots/match
3.05 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 21/206.45 shots/match
55.7%Possessionseason · 21/2046.9%
4.71 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/205 corners/match
4.24 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 21/206.05 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/1911.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/2110%
86%Scoring frequencyseason · 22/2157%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Ipswich Town85.4
Sheffield Wednesday22.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Ipswich Town92.4
Sheffield Wednesday3.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Ipswich Town95.1
Sheffield Wednesday3.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Ipswich Town77.1
Sheffield Wednesday10.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Ipswich Town43.8
Sheffield Wednesday72.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 45%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Ipswich Town25
Sheffield Wednesday41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Ipswich Town63
Sheffield Wednesday30.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.9 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots5/58.2 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/52.6 shots/match
51.4%Possession5/546.2%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/58.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.7 goals/match
0.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102 goals/match
1.56 xG/matchExpected goals10/100.92 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots10/109.4 shots/match
5.3 shots/matchShots on target10/102.9 shots/match
54.8%Possession10/1049.8%
4.2 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

22 / 21 matches
1.73 goals/matchGoals scored22/210.76 goals/match
1.05 goals/matchGoals allowed22/212.05 goals/match
1.7 xG/matchExpected goals22/211.02 xG/match
15.1 shots/matchShots21/2010.3 shots/match
5.05 shots/matchShots on target21/203.25 shots/match
55.7%Possession21/2046.9%
4.71 corners/matchCorners21/205 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFouls21/1911.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 10 matches
1.83 goals/matchGoals scored12/101.1 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed12/101.6 goals/match
1.93 xG/matchExpected goals12/100.95 xG/match
16.5 shots/matchShots11/1010 shots/match
6.09 shots/matchShots on target11/103.7 shots/match
53.5%Possession11/1040.6%
4.27 corners/matchCorners11/104.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFouls11/910.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.79 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples22 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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