Championship · 2025Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timePortman Road StadiumFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricIpswich TownLeicester City
Shots18 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.85 xG/match0.18 xG/match
Possession64%36%
Corners10 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Abdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHarry Winks · Leicester City · 5′ · 0.02 xG · on targetStephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuke Thomas · Leicester City · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAzor Matusiwa · Ipswich Town · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcelino Núñez · Ipswich Town · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJack Clarke · Ipswich Town · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnis Mehmeti · Ipswich Town · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDara O'Shea · Ipswich Town · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDara O'Shea · Ipswich Town · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatson Daka · Leicester City · 39′ · 0.03 xG · goalDarnell Furlong · Ipswich Town · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuke Thomas · Leicester City · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Okoli · Leicester City · 36′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIvan Azón · Ipswich Town · 65′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnis Mehmeti · Ipswich Town · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDara O'Shea · Ipswich Town · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAnis Mehmeti · Ipswich Town · 55′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedChuba Akpom · Ipswich Town · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedSindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich Town · 76′ · 0.16 xG · goalAnis Mehmeti · Ipswich Town · 76′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedIvan Azón · Ipswich Town · 47′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAnis Mehmeti · Ipswich Town · 43′ · 0.22 xG · on targetDara O'Shea · Ipswich Town · 30′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedChuba Akpom · Ipswich Town · 89′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Ipswich Town: 18 shots, 3 on target, 1.84 xG. Leicester City: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.18 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Sindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich Town · 76′Patson Daka · Leicester City · 39′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Ipswich Town 1.84 xG · Leicester City 0.18 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ipswich Town. A second useful context is: Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ipswich Town.

3.8 daysRest daysIpswich Town · Leicester City7.1 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricIpswich TownLeicester CityBaseline
Rest days3.8 days7.1 days
Matches last 14 days4 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Leicester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.9 shots/matchShotsIpswich Town · Leicester City11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIpswich TownLeicester CityBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against9.94 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Ipswich Town
0Draws
1Leicester City
Leicester CityIpswich Town · Championship31

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Ipswich Town favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Leicester City in 0 · 3 too close

1.74 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 35/361.33 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 35/361.58 goals/match
1.62 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 35/361.01 xG/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 35/361.5 xG/match
14.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/3511.3 shots/match
9.94 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/3513.5 shots/match
5.09 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/353.66 shots/match
3.18 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/354.49 shots/match
55.9%Possessionseason · 34/3550.7%
5.32 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/354.69 corners/match
3.76 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/355.89 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3511.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
37%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 35/368%
89%Scoring frequencyseason · 35/3683%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Ipswich Town89.6
Leicester City47.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Ipswich Town92.4
Leicester City37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Ipswich Town96.5
Leicester City14.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Ipswich Town77.1
Leicester City10.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Ipswich Town72.9
Leicester City64.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 49%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Ipswich Town64.6
Leicester City35.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Ipswich Town80.2
Leicester City39.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.75 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots5/510.2 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
54.8%Possession5/546%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
1.59 xG/matchExpected goals10/100.84 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots10/1011.1 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target10/103.7 shots/match
54.4%Possession10/1048.2%
6.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

35 / 36 matches
1.74 goals/matchGoals scored35/361.33 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed35/361.58 goals/match
1.62 xG/matchExpected goals35/361.01 xG/match
14.9 shots/matchShots34/3511.3 shots/match
5.09 shots/matchShots on target34/353.66 shots/match
55.9%Possession34/3550.7%
5.32 corners/matchCorners34/354.69 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFouls34/3511.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

19 / 19 matches
1.84 goals/matchGoals scored19/191.32 goals/match
0.68 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.68 goals/match
1.86 xG/matchExpected goals19/190.95 xG/match
16.1 shots/matchShots18/1810.1 shots/match
5.78 shots/matchShots on target18/183.72 shots/match
55%Possession18/1847.4%
5.61 corners/matchCorners18/183.44 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.9 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days
4 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples35 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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