Championship · 2025Fratton Park

Portsmouth 1–2 Swansea City · Championship

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Swansea City won 1–2.

Shots
98
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.940.71
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Swansea City beat Portsmouth 2–1. Recorded in this match (Portsmouth – Swansea City): shots 9–8, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.94–0.71, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Portsmouth, Swansea City.

3.3 days ▲Rest daysPortsmouth · Swansea City3.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPortsmouthSwansea CityBaseline
Rest days3.3 days3.2 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Portsmouth have a visible home split

strong

Portsmouth's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Portsmouth's recent record differs from the season

weak

Portsmouth's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots8 shotsPortsmouth 9 shots, Swansea City 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsPortsmouth 4 shots, Swansea City 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG0.71 xGPortsmouth 0.94 xG, Swansea City 0.71 xG
  • Possession59%41%Portsmouth 59%, Swansea City 41%
  • Corners6 corners0 cornersPortsmouth 6 corners, Swansea City 0 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsPortsmouth 9 fouls, Swansea City 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gonçalo Franco · Swansea City · 53′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJosh Tymon · Swansea City · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEbou Adams · Portsmouth · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEbou Adams · Portsmouth · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEthan Galbraith · Swansea City · 26′ · 0.03 xG · goalJosh Key · Swansea City · 39′ · 0.03 xG · goalZak Swanson · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTerry Devlin · Portsmouth · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJohn Swift · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJacob Brown · Portsmouth · 18′ · 0.07 xG · on targetEbou Adams · Portsmouth · 73′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 5′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 6′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJosh Tymon · Swansea City · 26′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedColby Bishop · Portsmouth · 67′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedEthan Galbraith · Swansea City · 54′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedJacob Brown · Portsmouth · 64′ · 0.52 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Portsmouth: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.97 xG. Swansea City: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Jacob Brown · Portsmouth · 64′Ethan Galbraith · Swansea City · 26′Josh Key · Swansea City · 39′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Portsmouth 0.97 xG · Swansea City 0.72 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Portsmouth
1Draws
1Swansea City
Swansea City — Portsmouth · Championship1–0
Portsmouth — Swansea City · Championship4–0
Swansea City — Portsmouth · Championship2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Portsmouth favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Swansea City in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Portsmouth36 matchesSwansea City37 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored36/37▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed36/37▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.12 xG/match ▲Expected goals36/371.01 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots35/3612.6 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target35/36▲ 3.83 shots/match
51.3%Possession35/36● 55.2%
5.89 corners/match ●Corners35/364.69 corners/match
9.77 fouls/matchFouls35/359.97 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 10 Mar 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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