Championship · 2025Wed, 11 Mar 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeCarrow RoadFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNorwich CitySheffield United
Shots19 shots/match6 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.82 xG/match0.74 xG/match
Possession59%41%
Corners11 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Anis Ben Slimane · Norwich City · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHarry Darling · Norwich City · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedParis Maghoma · Norwich City · 82′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJack Stacey · Norwich City · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnis Ben Slimane · Norwich City · 54′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich City · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich City · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKenny McLean · Norwich City · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarry Darling · Norwich City · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHarry Darling · Norwich City · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSydie Peck · Sheffield United · 71′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJacob Wright · Norwich City · 81′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 83′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKellen Fisher · Norwich City · 67′ · 0.08 xG · on targetThomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 66′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSam Field · Norwich City · 37′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAnis Ben Slimane · Norwich City · 12′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJaïro Riedewald · Sheffield United · 21′ · 0.14 xG · goalJack Stacey · Norwich City · 68′ · 0.15 xG · goalAli Ahmed · Norwich City · 75′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedSam Field · Norwich City · 41′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 88′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedThomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 80′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich City · 43′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedForson Amankwah · Norwich City · 84′ · 0.36 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Norwich City: 19 shots, 7 on target, 1.79 xG. Sheffield United: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.74 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jack Stacey · Norwich City · 68′Forson Amankwah · Norwich City · 84′Jaïro Riedewald · Sheffield United · 21′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Norwich City 1.79 xG · Sheffield United 0.74 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Norwich City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield United. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Norwich City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Norwich City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield United.

11.3 daysRest daysNorwich City · Sheffield United4.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNorwich CitySheffield UnitedBaseline
Rest days11.3 days4.2 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Sheffield United have a visible away split

moderate

Sheffield United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.1 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Norwich City
1Draws
0Sheffield United
Sheffield UnitedNorwich City · Championship11

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Norwich City favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Sheffield United in 5 · 5 too close

1.36 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 36/371.41 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 36/371.38 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 36/371.49 xG/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 36/371.18 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 35/3613.2 shots/match
12.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 35/3612.4 shots/match
4.26 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 35/364 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 35/364.19 shots/match
52%Possessionseason · 35/3651.6%
4.77 corners/matchCornersseason · 35/366.86 corners/match
5.37 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 35/365.08 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
9.86 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 35/3510.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/3724%
81%Scoring frequencyseason · 36/3773%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Norwich City68.8
Sheffield United64.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Norwich City60.4
Sheffield United66
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Norwich City54.9
Sheffield United33.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Norwich City27.1
Sheffield United56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Norwich City22.9
Sheffield United60.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 47%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Norwich City43.8
Sheffield United97.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Norwich City46.9
Sheffield United71.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.78 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.24 xG/match
15.2 shots/matchShots5/512.6 shots/match
6.8 shots/matchShots on target5/53 shots/match
57.4%Possession5/557.2%
6.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.19 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots10/1012.6 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target10/104 shots/match
52.8%Possession10/1052.2%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/105.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1011 fouls/match

Window

Season

36 / 37 matches
1.36 goals/matchGoals scored36/371.41 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed36/371.38 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals36/371.49 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots35/3613.2 shots/match
4.26 shots/matchShots on target35/364 shots/match
52%Possession35/3651.6%
4.77 corners/matchCorners35/366.86 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.86 fouls/matchFouls35/3510.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

18 / 19 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored18/191.21 goals/match
1.28 goals/matchGoals allowed18/191.58 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals18/191.23 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots18/1811.1 shots/match
4.39 shots/matchShots on target18/183.28 shots/match
55.2%Possession18/1846.8%
5.56 corners/matchCorners18/186.28 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.17 fouls/matchFouls18/1811 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

11.3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.2 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples36 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 11 Mar 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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