PitchMath
Championship · 2025Kassam Stadium

Oxford United 1–1 Hull City · Championship

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Oxford United and Hull City drew 1–1.

Shots
169
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
3.440.82
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Oxford United and Hull City drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Oxford United – Hull City): shots 16–9, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 3.44–0.82, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Oxford United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Oxford United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots9 shotsOxford United 16 shots, Hull City 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsOxford United 4 shots, Hull City 2 shots
  • Expected goals3.44 xG0.82 xGOxford United 3.44 xG, Hull City 0.82 xG
  • Possession34%66%Oxford United 34%, Hull City 66%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersOxford United 1 corner, Hull City 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsOxford United 10 fouls, Hull City 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mark Harris · Oxford United · 77′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJohn Lundstram · Hull City · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Belloumi · Hull City · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCameron Brannagan · Oxford United · 51′ · 0.02 xG · on targetWill Vaulks · Oxford United · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMohamed Belloumi · Hull City · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJamie Donley · Oxford United · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichał Helik · Oxford United · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJamie Donley · Oxford United · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Belloumi · Hull City · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJohn Lundstram · Hull City · 56′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMatt Crooks · Hull City · 57′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCiaron Brown · Oxford United · 74′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCiaron Brown · Oxford United · 27′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedWill Lankshear · Oxford United · 74′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMichał Helik · Oxford United · 75′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedWill Lankshear · Oxford United · 3′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Belloumi · Hull City · 4′ · 0.15 xG · goalKyle Joseph · Hull City · 40′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMatt Crooks · Hull City · 57′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMyles Peart-Harris · Oxford United · 41′ · 0.30 xG · on targetMichał Helik · Oxford United · 48′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedWill Lankshear · Oxford United · 21′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blockedMark Harris · Oxford United · 90′ · 0.70 xG · off target or blockedCameron Brannagan · Oxford United · 13′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Oxford United: 16 shots, 4 on target, 3.41 xG. Hull City: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.80 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Cameron Brannagan · Oxford United · 13′Mohamed Belloumi · Hull City · 4′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Oxford United 3.41 xG · Hull City 0.80 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Oxford United
0Draws
2Hull City
Hull City — Oxford United · Championship3–2
Hull City — Oxford United · Championship2–1
Oxford United — Hull City · Championship1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Oxford United favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Hull City in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Oxford United40 matchesHull City40 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored40/40▲ 1.58 goals/match
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals allowed40/401.45 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals40/40▲ 1.31 xG/match
11.8 shots/match ▲Shots39/3910.9 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on target39/39▲ 4.03 shots/match
39.2%Possession39/39● 46.2%
3.79 corners/matchCorners39/39● 4.56 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls38/3911.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples40 / 40home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 3 Apr 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOxford UnitedHull City
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headOxford United — Hull City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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