PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Daio Wasabi Stayen

Sint-Truidense VV 3–0 KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sint-Truidense VV won 3–0.

Shots
117
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
1.520.42
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

St. Truiden beat KV Mechelen 3–0. Recorded in this match (St. Truiden – KV Mechelen): shots 11–7, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 1.52–0.42, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for St. Truiden, KV Mechelen.

2.92 days ▲Rest daysSt. Truiden · KV Mechelen2.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSt. TruidenKV MechelenBaseline
Rest days2.92 days2.92 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

KV Mechelen's recent record differs from the season

weak

KV Mechelen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.24 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

KV Mechelen show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

KV Mechelen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsSt. Truiden · KV Mechelen9.95 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSt. TruidenKV MechelenBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match9.95 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match15.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots7 shotsSint-Truidense VV 11 shots, KV Mechelen 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotSint-Truidense VV 3 shots, KV Mechelen 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.52 xG0.42 xGSint-Truidense VV 1.52 xG, KV Mechelen 0.42 xG
  • Possession47%53%Sint-Truidense VV 47%, KV Mechelen 53%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersSint-Truidense VV 2 corners, KV Mechelen 2 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls5 foulsSint-Truidense VV 6 fouls, KV Mechelen 5 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsSint-Truidense VV 2 cards, KV Mechelen 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Keisuke Goto · St. Truiden · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArbnor Muja · St. Truiden · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArbnor Muja · St. Truiden · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Hammar · KV Mechelen · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Sissako · St. Truiden · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThérence Koudou · KV Mechelen · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKeano Vanrafelghem · KV Mechelen · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArbnor Muja · St. Truiden · 4′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMassimo Decoene · KV Mechelen · 37′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAbdoulaye Sissako · St. Truiden · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 42′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRihito Yamamoto · St. Truiden · 49′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 51′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedTaiga Hata · St. Truiden · 45′ · 0.33 xG · goalRyan Merlen · St. Truiden · 71′ · 0.38 xG · goalArbnor Muja · St. Truiden · 24′ · 0.39 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

St. Truiden: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.49 xG. KV Mechelen: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Arbnor Muja · St. Truiden · 24′Taiga Hata · St. Truiden · 45′Ryan Merlen · St. Truiden · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: St. Truiden 1.49 xG · KV Mechelen 0.44 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Sint-Truidense VV
1Draws
0KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League1–4
Sint-Truidense VV — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League1–0
KV Mechelen — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League1–3
KV Mechelen — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League1–1
Sint-Truidense VV — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sint-Truidense VV favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · KV Mechelen in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sint-Truidense VV42 matchesKV Mechelen42 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored42/421.24 goals/match
1.12 goals/match ▲Goals allowed42/421.5 goals/match
1.6 xG/match ▲Expected goals40/401.11 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots42/429.95 shots/match
4.31 shots/match ▲Shots on target42/423.62 shots/match
55% ●Possession42/4249.3%
5.6 corners/match ●Corners42/424.48 corners/match
1.77 cards/matchCards30/302.3 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls42/4210.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples42 / 42home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 May 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSint-Truidense VVKV Mechelen
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headSint-Truidense VV — KV Mechelen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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