PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Achter de Kazerne

KV Mechelen 1–0 KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KV Mechelen won 1–0.

Shots
99
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.741.41
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

KV Mechelen beat Gent 1–0. Recorded in this match (KV Mechelen – Gent): shots 9–9, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.74–1.41, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gent's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gent's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Gent.

6.9 days ▲Rest daysKV Mechelen · Gent7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricKV MechelenGentBaseline
Rest days6.9 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots9 shotsKV Mechelen 9 shots, KAA Gent 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsKV Mechelen 3 shots, KAA Gent 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.74 xG1.41 xGKV Mechelen 0.74 xG, KAA Gent 1.41 xG
  • Possession51%49%KV Mechelen 51%, KAA Gent 49%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersKV Mechelen 7 corners, KAA Gent 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls14 foulsKV Mechelen 10 fouls, KAA Gent 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsKV Mechelen 2 cards, KAA Gent 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Myron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosé Marsà · KV Mechelen · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRedouane Halhal · KV Mechelen · 62′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMatties Volckaert · Gent · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBill Antonio · KV Mechelen · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHyllarion Goore · Gent · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Hammar · KV Mechelen · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaiki Hashioka · Gent · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHong Hyun-seok · Gent · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIbrahima Cisse · Gent · 49′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMomodou Sonko · Gent · 55′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAimé Omgba · Gent · 72′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBouke Boersma · KV Mechelen · 76′ · 0.10 xG · on targetHyllarion Goore · Gent · 88′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedBouke Boersma · KV Mechelen · 16′ · 0.48 xG · goalAbdelkahar Kadri · Gent · 69′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

KV Mechelen: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.72 xG. Gent: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Bouke Boersma · KV Mechelen · 16′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: KV Mechelen 0.72 xG · Gent 1.43 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0KV Mechelen
3Draws
2KAA Gent
KAA Gent — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League1–1
KAA Gent — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League3–1
KV Mechelen — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League1–1
KV Mechelen — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League3–3
KAA Gent — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KV Mechelen favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · KAA Gent in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KV Mechelen38 matchesKAA Gent38 matches
1.26 goals/matchGoals scored38/38▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed38/381.34 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals36/37▲ 1.41 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots38/38▲ 12.7 shots/match
3.76 shots/matchShots on target38/38▲ 4.32 shots/match
49.4%Possession38/38● 49.7%
4.68 corners/match ●Corners38/384.47 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards30/281.71 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls38/3810.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKV MechelenKAA Gent
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKV Mechelen — KAA Gent
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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