PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Lotto Park

RSC Anderlecht 1–3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise won 1–3.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.120.47
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Union St. Gilloise beat Anderlecht 3–1. Recorded in this match (Anderlecht – Union St. Gilloise): shots 13–12, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.12–0.47, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Anderlecht, Union St. Gilloise.

2.91 days ▲Rest daysAnderlecht · Union St. Gilloise3.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAnderlechtUnion St. GilloiseBaseline
Rest days2.91 days3.92 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.97 corners/match ●CornersAnderlecht · Union St. Gilloise5.86 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAnderlechtUnion St. GilloiseBaseline
Corners5.97 corners/match5.86 corners/match5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Anderlecht show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Anderlecht's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAnderlecht · Union St. Gilloise15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAnderlechtUnion St. GilloiseBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against13.1 shots/match7.92 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsRSC Anderlecht 13 shots, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsRSC Anderlecht 3 shots, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.12 xG0.47 xGRSC Anderlecht 1.12 xG, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.47 xG
  • Possession55%45%RSC Anderlecht 55%, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 45%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersRSC Anderlecht 4 corners, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls8 foulsRSC Anderlecht 16 fouls, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsRSC Anderlecht 2 cards, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIlay Camara · Anderlecht · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYari Verschaeren · Anderlecht · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnan Khalaili · Union St. Gilloise · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarco Kana · Anderlecht · 37′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRaul Florucz · Union St. Gilloise · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdem Zorgane · Union St. Gilloise · 25′ · 0.03 xG · goalKamiel Van de Perre · Union St. Gilloise · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnouar Ait El Hadj · Union St. Gilloise · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme Smith · Union St. Gilloise · 65′ · 0.04 xG · goalAdriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 68′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKevin Rodriguez · Union St. Gilloise · 80′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAdem Zorgane · Union St. Gilloise · 17′ · 0.08 xG · goalThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 50′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Diarra · Anderlecht · 62′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Diarra · Anderlecht · 69′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme Smith · Union St. Gilloise · 64′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedYari Verschaeren · Anderlecht · 69′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 45′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedMihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 32′ · 0.38 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Anderlecht: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.14 xG. Union St. Gilloise: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Mihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 32′Adem Zorgane · Union St. Gilloise · 17′Adem Zorgane · Union St. Gilloise · 25′Guilherme Smith · Union St. Gilloise · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Anderlecht 1.14 xG · Union St. Gilloise 0.49 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1RSC Anderlecht
0Draws
4Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
RSC Anderlecht — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League1–0
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League2–0
RSC Anderlecht — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League0–1
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League2–0
RSC Anderlecht — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RSC Anderlecht favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RSC Anderlecht37 matchesRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise37 matches
1.43 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲ 1.62 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed37/37▲ 0.51 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals35/36▲ 1.65 xG/match
15.1 shots/matchShots37/3715.1 shots/match
4.78 shots/matchShots on target37/37▲ 5.32 shots/match
54.1% ●Possession37/3752.9%
5.97 corners/match ●Corners37/375.86 corners/match
2.83 cards/matchCards30/292.52 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls37/3712.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRSC AnderlechtRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headRSC Anderlecht — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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