PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Den Dreef

Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0–2 KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KVC Westerlo won 0–2.

Shots
1216
Shots on target
58
Expected goals
1.011.8
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

KVC Westerlo beat OH Leuven 2–0. Recorded in this match (OH Leuven – KVC Westerlo): shots 12–16, shots on target 5–8, expected goals 1.01–1.8, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

OH Leuven's recent record differs from the season

moderate

OH Leuven's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.03 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.03 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for OH Leuven, KVC Westerlo.

3.19 days ▲Rest daysOH Leuven · KVC Westerlo3.09 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricOH LeuvenKVC WesterloBaseline
Rest days3.19 days3.09 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

OH Leuven have a visible home split

moderate

OH Leuven's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots16 shotsOud-Heverlee Leuven 12 shots, KVC Westerlo 16 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots8 shotsOud-Heverlee Leuven 5 shots, KVC Westerlo 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.01 xG1.8 xGOud-Heverlee Leuven 1.01 xG, KVC Westerlo 1.8 xG
  • Possession49%51%Oud-Heverlee Leuven 49%, KVC Westerlo 51%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersOud-Heverlee Leuven 8 corners, KVC Westerlo 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls5 foulsOud-Heverlee Leuven 10 fouls, KVC Westerlo 5 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsOud-Heverlee Leuven 1 card, KVC Westerlo 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Seiji Kimura · KVC Westerlo · 4′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSerhiy Sydorchuk · KVC Westerlo · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosimar Alcócer · KVC Westerlo · 22′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAllahyar Sayyadmanesh · KVC Westerlo · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSeiji Kimura · KVC Westerlo · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThibault Vlietinck · OH Leuven · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMathieu Maertens · OH Leuven · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHenok Teklab · OH Leuven · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMathieu Maertens · OH Leuven · 49′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHenok Teklab · OH Leuven · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 15′ · 0.05 xG · on targetHenok Teklab · OH Leuven · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAfonso Patrao · KVC Westerlo · 80′ · 0.05 xG · on targetShunsuke Saito · KVC Westerlo · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maziz · OH Leuven · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAfonso Patrao · KVC Westerlo · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLucas Mbamba · KVC Westerlo · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArthur Piedfort · KVC Westerlo · 4′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKyan Vaesen · OH Leuven · 5′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedEwoud Pletinckx · OH Leuven · 2′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedThibault Vlietinck · OH Leuven · 9′ · 0.12 xG · on targetEmin Bayram · KVC Westerlo · 4′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedBryan Reynolds · KVC Westerlo · 58′ · 0.13 xG · on targetŁukasz Łakomy · OH Leuven · 41′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedHenok Teklab · OH Leuven · 33′ · 0.21 xG · on targetNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 62′ · 0.21 xG · goalNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 67′ · 0.40 xG · on targetNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 67′ · 0.79 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

OH Leuven: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.99 xG. KVC Westerlo: 16 shots, 8 on target, 2.08 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Nacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 62′Nacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: OH Leuven 0.99 xG · KVC Westerlo 2.08 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2Draws
3KVC Westerlo
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League0–1
KVC Westerlo — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League2–0
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League0–2
KVC Westerlo — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League2–2
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Oud-Heverlee Leuven favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · KVC Westerlo in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Oud-Heverlee Leuven36 matchesKVC Westerlo36 matches
1.03 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲ 1.28 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed36/36▲ 1.28 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲ 1.52 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots36/36▲ 14.8 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲ 4.75 shots/match
45.6%Possession36/36● 49.8%
5.03 corners/matchCorners36/36● 5.36 corners/match
3.27 cards/matchCards30/301.83 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls36/3611.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Apr 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOud-Heverlee LeuvenKVC Westerlo
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headOud-Heverlee Leuven — KVC Westerlo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required