PitchMath
Super League · 2026

Qingdao Hainiu 1–5 Wuhan Three Towns · Super League

1–5Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Wuhan Three Towns won 1–5.

Shots
2019
Shots on target
79
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wuhan Three Towns beat Qingdao Hainiu 5–1. Recorded in this match (Qingdao Hainiu – Wuhan Three Towns): shots 20–19, shots on target 7–9, possession 46%–54%, corners 7–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Qingdao Hainiu's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Qingdao Hainiu's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.32 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.32 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots19 shotsQingdao Hainiu 20 shots, Wuhan Three Towns 19 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots9 shotsQingdao Hainiu 7 shots, Wuhan Three Towns 9 shots
  • Possession46%54%Qingdao Hainiu 46%, Wuhan Three Towns 54%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersQingdao Hainiu 7 corners, Wuhan Three Towns 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls11 foulsQingdao Hainiu 15 fouls, Wuhan Three Towns 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Qingdao Hainiu
2Draws
2Wuhan Three Towns
Wuhan Three Towns — Qingdao Hainiu · Super League1–3
Qingdao Hainiu — Wuhan Three Towns · Super League0–0
Wuhan Three Towns — Qingdao Hainiu · Super League2–0
Qingdao Hainiu — Wuhan Three Towns · Super League1–1
Wuhan Three Towns — Qingdao Hainiu · Super League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Qingdao Hainiu favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Wuhan Three Towns in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Qingdao Hainiu25 matchesWuhan Three Towns23 matches
1.32 goals/matchGoals scored25/23▲ 1.52 goals/match
2.04 goals/matchGoals allowed25/23▲ 1.7 goals/match
1.35 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.23 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots25/2313.1 shots/match
3.96 shots/matchShots on target25/23▲ 4.57 shots/match
45.2%Possession25/23● 46.2%
4.28 corners/matchCorners25/23● 4.83 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls25/2312.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples25 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsQingdao HainiuWuhan Three Towns
CompetitionSuper League
Head-to-headQingdao Hainiu — Wuhan Three Towns
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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