PitchMath
Super League · 2026

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 1–1 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC · Super League

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC drew 1–1.

Shots
1410
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.160.41
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang – Chongqing Tonglianglong FC): shots 14–10, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.16–0.41, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC9.16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHenan FC Jiuzu DukangChongqing Tonglianglong FCBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match9.16 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against11.7 shots/match11.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang have a visible home split

moderate

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots10 shotsHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 14 shots, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 6 shots, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.16 xG0.41 xGHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 1.16 xG, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 0.41 xG
  • Possession69%31%Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 69%, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 31%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 6 corners, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls19 foulsHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 14 fouls, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 2 cards, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1 card
  • Passes520 passes231 passesHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 520 passes, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 231 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.2%74%Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 85.2%, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 74%
  • Shots inside box11 shots4 shotsHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 11 shots, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 4 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks5 blocksHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 4 blocks, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 2 saves, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 4 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang 3 offsides, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bruno Nazário · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · 15′ · 0.00 xG · on targetYongqiang Wu · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC · 31′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedShangyuan Wang · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · 48′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMaranhão · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · 63′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedBruno Nazário · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · 69′ · 0.00 xG · on targetNany Dimata · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC · 75′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedIago Maidana · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · 75′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAlexandru Cîmpanu · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC · 79′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedWei Suowei · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC · 86′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAlexandru Cîmpanu · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC · 90′ · 0.00 xG · on targetChen Chunxin · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBruno Nazário · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBruno Nazário · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGustavo · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYongqiang Wu · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaranhão · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · 74′ · 0.01 xG · on targetShangyuan Wang · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · 86′ · 0.01 xG · on targetShangyuan Wang · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDu Yuezheng · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedZhang Yingkai · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC · 31′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLucas Maia · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · 63′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGustavo · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · 17′ · 0.10 xG · goalQilong Ruan · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC · 58′ · 0.10 xG · goalMaranhão · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · 74′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang: 14 shots, 6 on target, 0.34 xG. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′Gustavo · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · 17′Qilong Ruan · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC · 58′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 0.34 xG · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 0.22 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang
1Draws
0Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang24 matchesChongqing Tonglianglong FC25 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/251.04 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed24/25▲ 1.16 goals/match
1.29 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/170.87 xG/match
12.2 shots/match ▲Shots24/259.16 shots/match
4.17 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/253.16 shots/match
51.9% ●Possession24/2548%
5.38 corners/match ●Corners24/253.92 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls24/2512.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples24 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHenan FC Jiuzu DukangChongqing Tonglianglong FC
CompetitionSuper League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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