PitchMath
Super League · 2026

Yunnan Yukun 1–0 Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Yunnan Yukun won 1–0.

Shots
1813
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.281.92
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Yunnan Yukun beat Chengdu Rongcheng 1–0. Recorded in this match (Yunnan Yukun – Chengdu Rongcheng): shots 18–13, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.28–1.92, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chengdu Rongcheng's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chengdu Rongcheng's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.91 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots13 shotsYunnan Yukun 18 shots, Chengdu Rongcheng 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotYunnan Yukun 4 shots, Chengdu Rongcheng 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.28 xG1.92 xGYunnan Yukun 1.28 xG, Chengdu Rongcheng 1.92 xG
  • Possession52%48%Yunnan Yukun 52%, Chengdu Rongcheng 48%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersYunnan Yukun 7 corners, Chengdu Rongcheng 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls16 foulsYunnan Yukun 10 fouls, Chengdu Rongcheng 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Yunnan Yukun
1Draws
2Chengdu Rongcheng
Chengdu Rongcheng — Yunnan Yukun · Super League2–1
Yunnan Yukun — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League1–5
Chengdu Rongcheng — Yunnan Yukun · Super League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Yunnan Yukun favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Chengdu Rongcheng in 8 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Yunnan Yukun22 matchesChengdu Rongcheng22 matches
1.95 goals/matchGoals scored22/221.91 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 1 goal/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals16/12▲ 2.22 xG/match
15.2 shots/matchShots22/2215.2 shots/match
5.09 shots/matchShots on target22/225.23 shots/match
50.8%Possession22/22● 56.2%
5.05 corners/matchCorners22/22● 6.82 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls22/2212.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsYunnan YukunChengdu Rongcheng
CompetitionSuper League
Head-to-headYunnan Yukun — Chengdu Rongcheng
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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